Lia Karatancheva vs Xiaodi You – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
16/02/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Midland, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
32
1st serve percentage
58%54%
1st serve points won
45% (14/31)91% (20/22)
2nd serve points won
45% (10/22)63% (12/19)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/5)75% (3/4)
1st return points won
9% (2/22)55% (17/31)
2nd return points won
37% (7/19)55% (12/22)
Break Points Converted
25% (1/4)100% (5/5)
Service Points Won
46% (23/50)78% (32/41)
Return Points Won
22% (9/41)54% (27/50)
Total Points Won
35% (32/91)65% (59/91)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
10
Service games won
44% (4/9)88% (7/8)
Return games won
13% (1/8)56% (5/9)
Total games won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Lia Karatancheva
38.5%
Xiaodi You
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9% 60.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lia Karatancheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Xiaodi You has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lia Karatancheva than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xiaodi You than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Lia Karatancheva - Xiaodi You Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.57)

    1.52
    (1.45)
    7.2%
    (7.9%)
    What is the prediction for Lia Karatancheva - Xiaodi You?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. You will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. You (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Karatancheva is ranked WTA: 294. You is ranked WTA: 258.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • You might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Xiaodi You
    04.02.2026 Xiaodi You - Ena Koike 0:2
    30.01.2026 Xiaodi You - Shilin Xu Xu S. retired
    29.01.2026 Jessica Pieri - Xiaodi You 1:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Krueger A. (1)Sebov K.1 : 2
    2Brace C.Cross K.1 : 2
    3Brengle M.Scott K.2 : 0
    4Chang H.Stoiana M. (8)1 : 2
    5Kalieva E. (3)Rogers A. S.2 : 0
    6Hosogi S. (Q)Liu C.2 : 1
    7Jokic K.Jones E. (WC)2 : 1
    8Guo H.Chirico L. (7)2 : 1
    9Charaeva A. (5)Xu S. (Q)2 : 0
    10Karatancheva L.You X.0 : 2
    11Ansari C.Hibino N.1 : 2
    12Hewitt D. (Q)Osuigwe W. (4)0 : 2
    13Mandlik E. (6)Frey A. (WC)0 : 2
    14Coleman E. (WC)Day K.0 : 2
    15Lee G.Ma L. (Q)2 : 0
    16Sawashiro K. (WC)Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sebov K.Cross K.2 : 0
    2Brengle M.Stoiana M. (8)0 : 2
    3Kalieva E. (3)Hosogi S.2 : 0
    4Jokic K. (RET.)Guo H.0 : 1
    5Charaeva A. (5)You X.2 : 0
    6Hibino N.Osuigwe W. (4)2 : 0
    7Frey A.Day K.2 : 1
    8Lee G.Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sebov K.Stoiana M. (8)0 : 2
    2Kalieva E. (3)Guo H.1 : 2
    3Charaeva A. (5)Hibino N.2 : 0
    4Frey A.Vidmanova D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Stoiana M. (8)Guo H.1 : 2
    2Charaeva A. (5)Vidmanova D. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Guo H.Charaeva A. (5)0 : 2