Liam Draxl vs Alibek Kachmazov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Thionville Challenger Men Liam Draxl - Alibek Kachmazov
Result
1:2
07/03/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville (France), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
214
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
66%62%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (51/79)66% (44/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
43% (17/40)61% (25/41)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
34% (23/67)35% (28/79)
2nd Return Points Won
39% (16/41)58% (23/40)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)36% (4/11)
Service Points Won
57% (68/119)64% (69/108)
Return Points Won
36% (39/108)43% (51/119)
Total Points Won
47% (107/227)53% (120/227)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)81% (13/16)
Return Games Won
19% (3/16)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
47% (15/32)53% (17/32)

Chances of winning


Liam Draxl
59.8%
Alibek Kachmazov
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 45.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liam Draxl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liam Draxl's performance.
  • Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alibek Kachmazov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Liam Draxl - Alibek Kachmazov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.72)

    2.32
    (2.02)
    6.9%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Liam Draxl - Alibek Kachmazov?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Draxl will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Kachmazov will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Draxl: 30.4%86.2%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Draxl is ranked ATP: 171. Kachmazov is ranked ATP: 186.
    • Draxl is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Kachmazov is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kachmazov could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Draxl will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Liam Draxl
    Latest results of Alibek Kachmazov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Jubb P.2 : 0
    2Ruusuvuori E.Bobichon M. (Q)2 : 0
    3Paris T. (WC)Escoffier A.2 : 1
    4Dougaz A.Shimizu Y. (5)2 : 0
    5Draxl L. (4)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1
    6Zhukayev B.Rehberg M. H. (Alt)2 : 0
    7Balshaw F. (WC)Hassan B.0 : 2
    8Onclin G.Kachmazov A. (7)0 : 2
    9Droguet T. (6)Squire H. (Q)2 : 1
    10Broska F. (Q)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    11Added D. (WC)Martineau M.1 : 2
    12Grenier H.van Assche L. (3)0 : 2
    13Choinski J. (8)Henning P. (Q)2 : 0
    14Yevseyev D. (Alt)Gueymard Wayenburg S.1 : 2
    15Rodionov J.Sachko V. (Q)2 : 0
    16Paul J. (Q)Blockx A. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Ruusuvuori E. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Paris T.Dougaz A.0 : 2
    3Draxl L. (4)Zhukayev B.2 : 1
    4Hassan B.Kachmazov A. (7)1 : 2
    5Droguet T. (6)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    6Martineau M.van Assche L. (3)1 : 2
    7Choinski J. (8)Gueymard Wayenburg S.2 : 0
    8Rodionov J.Paul J.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Dougaz A.2 : 0
    2Draxl L. (4)Kachmazov A. (7)1 : 2
    3Bouquier A. (WO.)van Assche L. (3)
    4Choinski J. (8)Rodionov J.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Coric B. (1)Kachmazov A. (7)2 : 1
    2Bouquier A.Rodionov J.2 : 1

    Final
    1Coric B. (1)Bouquier A.2 : 0