Liam Draxl vs Colton Smith – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
30/03/2025 at 14:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Houston - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
28
Double Faults
32
1st Serve Percentage
79%65%
1st Serve Points Won
62% (33/53)80% (32/40)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (7/14)55% (12/22)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)100% (2/2)
1st Return Points Won
20% (8/40)38% (20/53)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (10/22)50% (7/14)
Break Points Converted
0% (0/2)29% (2/7)
Winners
1132
Unforced Errors
2432
Net Points Won
100% (7/7)72% (13/18)
Service Points Won
60% (40/67)71% (44/62)
Return Points Won
29% (18/62)40% (27/67)
Total Points Won
45% (58/129)55% (71/129)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)100% (10/10)
Return Games Won
0% (0/10)20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Liam Draxl
41.1%
Colton Smith
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 49.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liam Draxl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liam Draxl's form might have worsened.
  • Colton Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colton Smith's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liam Draxl than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liam Draxl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colton Smith than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colton Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Liam Draxl - Colton Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (1.82)

    1.59
    (1.84)
    7.2%
    (9.3%)
    What is the prediction for Liam Draxl - Colton Smith?
  • Users Predictions: Liam Draxl will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Draxl is ranked ATP: 179. Smith is ranked ATP: 202.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Draxl could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Liam Draxl
    Latest results of Colton Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Bye
    2Pinnington Jones J. (Q)Zhang Z. (WC)0 : 2
    3Smith C. (WC)Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    4McDonald M.Brooksby J. (8)2 : 0
    5Tien L. (3)Bye
    6Basavareddy N. (WC)Draxl L. (Q)2 : 1
    7Burruchaga R. A.Walton A.2 : 0
    8Damm M.Nakashima B. (5)0 : 2
    9Etcheverry T. M. (6)Gomez F. A. (Q)2 : 1
    10Bolt A. (Q)Wu Y.2 : 0
    11Vallejo D.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    12ByePaul T. (4)
    13Michelsen A. (7)Wong C.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Kypson P.2 : 1
    15Kovacevic A.Hijikata R.0 : 2
    16ByeTiafoe F. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Zhang Z.2 : 0
    2Tirante T. A.McDonald M.2 : 0
    3Tien L. (3)Basavareddy N.2 : 1
    4Burruchaga R. A.Nakashima B. (5)2 : 1
    5Etcheverry T. M. (6)Bolt A.2 : 1
    6Vallejo D.Paul T. (4)1 : 2
    7Michelsen A. (7)Popyrin A.1 : 2
    8Hijikata R.Tiafoe F. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Tirante T. A.1 : 2
    2Tien L. (3)Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    3Etcheverry T. M. (6)Paul T. (4)0 : 2
    4Popyrin A.Tiafoe F. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tirante T. A.Burruchaga R. A.0 : 2
    2Paul T. (4)Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Burruchaga R. A.Paul T. (4)1 : 2