Lian Tran vs Martina Colmegna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
21/10/2025 at 13:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Queretaro, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
71
1st Serve Percentage
64%65%
1st Serve Points Won
44% (14/32)58% (19/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
28% (5/18)56% (10/18)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/7)63% (5/8)
1st Return Points Won
48% (16/33)56% (18/32)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (8/18)72% (13/18)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)100% (7/7)
Service Points Won
36% (18/50)57% (29/51)
Return Points Won
43% (22/51)64% (32/50)
Total Points Won
40% (40/101)60% (61/101)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
22% (2/9)63% (5/8)
Return Games Won
38% (3/8)78% (7/9)
Total Games Won
29% (5/17)71% (12/17)

Chances of winning


Lian Tran
32.5%
Martina Colmegna
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 55.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lian Tran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lian Tran's form might have worsened.
  • Martina Colmegna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martina Colmegna's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lian Tran than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lian Tran, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martina Colmegna than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martina Colmegna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lian Tran - Martina Colmegna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.1)

    1.41
    (1.67)
    4.1%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Tran is ranked WTA: 341. Colmegna is ranked WTA: 658.
    • Tran has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Colmegna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Colmegna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Colmegna might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lian Tran
    Latest results of Martina Colmegna
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bejlek S. (1)Arconada U. M.2 : 1
    2Nepliy E. (Q)Lee G.0 : 2
    3Karatancheva L.Rodriguez V.0 : 2
    4Garibay Romero C. (WC)Janicijevic S. (7)0 : 2
    5Sanchez A. S. (4)Jokic K.2 : 1
    6Tran L.Colmegna M.0 : 2
    7Cherubini D.Trevisan M.2 : 1
    8Sousa Salazar N.Pieri J. (8)0 : 2
    9Chang H. (6)Naito Y.2 : 0
    10Gonzalez M. A. (WC)Herrero Linana A.0 : 2
    11Pareja J.Strakhova V.2 : 0
    12Castillo Meza M. (WC)Vandewinkel H. (3)0 : 2
    13Bulgaru M. (5)Navarro M. F. (Q)2 : 0
    14Kazionova E.Okalova M.1 : 2
    15Giavara H. (Q)Portillo Ramirez M. J.2 : 0
    16Scott K. (Q)Lepchenko V. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Bejlek S. (1)Lee G.2 : 0
    2Rodriguez V.Janicijevic S. (7)0 : 2
    3Sanchez A. S. (4)Colmegna M.0 : 2
    4Cherubini D.Pieri J. (8)1 : 2
    5Chang H. (6)Herrero Linana A.1 : 2
    6Pareja J.Vandewinkel H. (3)0 : 2
    7Bulgaru M. (5)Okalova M.2 : 0
    8Giavara H.Scott K.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bejlek S. (1)Janicijevic S. (7)2 : 0
    2Colmegna M.Pieri J. (8)2 : 0
    3Herrero Linana A.Vandewinkel H. (3)0 : 2
    4Bulgaru M. (5)Scott K.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bejlek S. (1)Colmegna M.2 : 0
    2Vandewinkel H. (3)Scott K.1 : 2

    Final
    1Bejlek S. (1)Scott K.2 : 0