Result
2:1
11/05/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.43 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
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| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
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| 86% (502/582) | 74% (209/283) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.09 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.14 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
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| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 17 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 19 | 17 |
| Passes |
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| 86% (502/582) | 74% (209/283) |
| Long passes |
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| 57% (36/63) | 52% (34/66) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 68% (95/139) | 55% (39/71) |
| Crosses |
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| 6% (1/16) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.79 | 0.80 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 22 | 12 |
| Fouls |
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| 17 | 19 |
| Tackles |
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| 82% (14/17) | 87% (20/23) |
| Duels won |
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| 52 | 58 |
| Clearances |
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| 17 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
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| 3 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.16 | 1.14 |
| Goals prevented |
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| 0.16 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Zang Yifeng ⚽, Felipe (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Chen Rong ↓, Lei Wenjie ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Mbenza G. ⚽, Felipe (A),
- 56', Zheng Zhiyun ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
- 59', Yin Lu 🟨,
- 63', Wu Y. ↓, Cui Hao ↑,
- 63', Deng Chunze ↓, Ning F. ↑,
- 63', Yin Lu ↓, Kotnik A. ↑,
- 74', Ji Zhengyu 🟨,
- 77', Samuel A. ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
- 81', Wei Lai ↓, Wang H. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Li Peng (Own goal),
- 90+3', Zang Yifeng ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
Chances of winning
Liaoning Tieren
69% | Draw
19.3% | Dalian Kun City
11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalian Kun City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liaoning Tieren that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalian Kun City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Kun City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.34 ↓
(1.6) |
4.81 ↑
(4.04) |
7.94 ↑
(4.61) |
7.9%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 7).
- Liaoning Tieren has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Dalian Kun City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Liaoning Tieren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Liaoning Tieren is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Liaoning Tieren will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Liaoning Tieren won against Dalian Kun City?
Liaoning Tieren has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dalian Kun City won against Liaoning Tieren?
Dalian Kun City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Kun City were as follows:
Latest results of Liaoning Tieren
Latest results of Dalian Kun City
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 48:21 | 27 | 50 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 43:23 | 20 | 46 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 35:27 | 8 | 37 |
| 4 | Dalian K'un City | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 33 |
| 5 | Yanbian Longding | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 23:20 | 3 | 33 |
| 6 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 30:24 | 6 | 32 |
| 7 | Nantong Zhiyun | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26:23 | 3 | 29 |
| 8 | Dingnan Ganlian | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29:27 | 2 | 29 |
| 9 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:26 | -7 | 26 |
| 10 | Nanjing City | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 27:30 | -3 | 25 |
| 11 | Suzhou Dongwu | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 19:22 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | Shaanxi Union | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:34 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 23 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19:34 | -15 | 18 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:30 | -14 | 17 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 13:28 | -15 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
