Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (208/271) | 85% (441/520) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (208/271) | 85% (441/520) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (29/53) | 45% (22/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (59/96) | 64% (60/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Mushekwi N. ⚽,
- 39', Sun Kangbo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 1, Mbenza G. ⚽, Felipe (A),
- 73', Zang Yifeng ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
- 74', Song Chen ↓, Zhao Shuhao ↑,
- 78', Lei Wenjie ↓, Chen Rong ↑,
- 79', Lei Wenjie 🟨,
- 85', Wu Y. ↓, Ge Hailun ↑,
- 85', Deng Chunze ↓, Ning F. ↑,
- 86', Tian Yinong ↓, Zhang Jiaming ↑,
- 90+7', Cui Ming'an ↓, Zhu Shiyu ↑,
Chances of winning
Dalian Kun City
23.5% | Draw
26.5% | Liaoning Tieren
50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dalian Kun City's form might have worsened.Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dalian Kun City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dalian Kun City - Liaoning Tieren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.95 ↑
(3) |
3.51 ↑
(3.25) |
1.85 ↓
(2.23) |
7.9%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dalian Kun City - Liaoning Tieren?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dalian Kun City (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
- Dalian Kun City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Liaoning Tieren is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Liaoning Tieren might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dalian Kun City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Dalian Kun City won against Liaoning Tieren?
Dalian Kun City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liaoning Tieren won against Dalian Kun City?
Liaoning Tieren has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dalian Kun City - Liaoning Tieren were as follows:
11.05.2025
Liaoning Tieren
-
Dalian Kun City
2:1
Latest results of Dalian Kun City
Latest results of Liaoning Tieren
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 52:32 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 55:35 | 20 | 60 |
| 4 | Yanbian Longding | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 43:25 | 18 | 55 |
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Dingnan Ganlian | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40:35 | 5 | 44 |
| 7 | Nantong Zhiyun | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 44:31 | 13 | 43 |
| 8 | Dalian K'un City | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 42:38 | 4 | 42 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 48:47 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Suzhou Dongwu | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 25:28 | -3 | 38 |
| 11 | Nanjing City | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 40:48 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 26:44 | -18 | 30 |
| 13 | Foshan Nanshi | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:49 | -22 | 29 |
| 14 | Shenzhen Juniors | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 28 |
| 15 | Guangxi Pingguo | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 24:47 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 30 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 20:50 | -30 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ League Two
