Result
2:1
11/05/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.09 | 0.43 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
86% (502/582) | 74% (209/283) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.09 | 0.43 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.14 | 0.16 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
86% (502/582) | 74% (209/283) |
Long passes |
---|
57% (36/63) | 52% (34/66) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (95/139) | 55% (39/71) |
Crosses |
---|
6% (1/16) | 28% (5/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.79 | 0.80 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (14/17) | 87% (20/23) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 58 |
Clearances |
---|
17 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 16 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.16 | 1.14 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.16 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Zang Yifeng ⚽, Felipe (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Chen Rong ↓, Lei Wenjie ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Mbenza G. ⚽, Felipe (A),
- 56', Zheng Zhiyun ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
- 59', Yin Lu 🟨,
- 63', Wu Y. ↓, Cui Hao ↑,
- 63', Deng Chunze ↓, Ning F. ↑,
- 63', Yin Lu ↓, Kotnik A. ↑,
- 74', Ji Zhengyu 🟨,
- 77', Samuel A. ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
- 81', Wei Lai ↓, Wang H. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Li Peng (Own goal),
- 90+3', Zang Yifeng ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
Chances of winning
Liaoning Tieren 69% | Draw 19.3% | Dalian Kun City 11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalian Kun City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liaoning Tieren that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalian Kun City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Kun City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.34 ↓ (1.6) |
4.81 ↑ (4.04) |
7.94 ↑ (4.61) |
7.9% (9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 7).
- Liaoning Tieren has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Dalian Kun City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Liaoning Tieren may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Liaoning Tieren is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Liaoning Tieren will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Liaoning Tieren won against Dalian Kun City?
Liaoning Tieren has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dalian Kun City won against Liaoning Tieren?
Dalian Kun City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liaoning Tieren - Dalian Kun City were as follows:
Latest results of Liaoning Tieren
Latest results of Dalian Kun City
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Liaoning Tieren | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 41:16 | 25 | 43 |
2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
3 | Yanbian Longding | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 31 |
4 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28:20 | 8 | 30 |
5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 29 |
6 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 24 |
7 | Dalian K'un City | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
8 | Nantong Zhiyun | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:21 | 0 | 22 |
9 | Shaanxi Union | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Suzhou Dongwu | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
11 | Dingnan Ganlian | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 20 |
12 | Nanjing City | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 |
13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 20 |
14 | Foshan Nanshi | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
15 | Qingdao Red Lions | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
16 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League