Result
1:1
21/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
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China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.07 | 0.78 |
Ball Possession |
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35% | 65% |
Total shots |
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16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 4 |
Passes |
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77% (208/271) | 85% (441/520) |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.07 | 0.78 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.24 | 1.51 |
Total shots |
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16 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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12 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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27 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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11 | 14 |
Passes |
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77% (208/271) | 85% (441/520) |
Long passes |
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55% (29/53) | 45% (22/49) |
Passes in final third |
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61% (59/96) | 64% (60/94) |
Crosses |
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35% (8/23) | 22% (4/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.90 | 0.56 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 18 |
Fouls |
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14 | 11 |
Tackles |
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58% (7/12) | 47% (8/17) |
Duels won |
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52 | 53 |
Clearances |
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25 | 20 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
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1.51 | 1.24 |
Goals prevented |
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0.51 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Mushekwi N. ⚽,
- 39', Sun Kangbo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 1, Mbenza G. ⚽, Felipe (A),
- 73', Zang Yifeng ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
- 74', Song Chen ↓, Zhao Shuhao ↑,
- 78', Lei Wenjie ↓, Chen Rong ↑,
- 79', Lei Wenjie 🟨,
- 85', Wu Y. ↓, Ge Hailun ↑,
- 85', Deng Chunze ↓, Ning F. ↑,
- 86', Tian Yinong ↓, Zhang Jiaming ↑,
- 90+7', Cui Ming'an ↓, Zhu Shiyu ↑,
Chances of winning
Dalian Kun City 23.5% | Draw 26.5% | Liaoning Tieren 50% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dalian Kun City's form might have worsened.Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dalian Kun City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dalian Kun City - Liaoning Tieren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.95 ↑ (3) |
3.51 ↑ (3.25) |
1.85 ↓ (2.23) |
7.9% (8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Dalian Kun City - Liaoning Tieren?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dalian Kun City (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
- Dalian Kun City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Liaoning Tieren is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Liaoning Tieren might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dalian Kun City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Dalian Kun City won against Liaoning Tieren?
Dalian Kun City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liaoning Tieren won against Dalian Kun City?
Liaoning Tieren has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dalian Kun City - Liaoning Tieren were as follows:
11.05.2025
Liaoning Tieren
-
Dalian Kun City
2:1
Latest results of Dalian Kun City
Latest results of Liaoning Tieren
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Liaoning Tieren | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 50:25 | 25 | 52 |
2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 44:30 | 14 | 46 |
3 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Yanbian Longding | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 28:20 | 8 | 42 |
5 | Dalian K'un City | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
6 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 38 |
7 | Nantong Zhiyun | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:24 | 8 | 36 |
8 | Dingnan Ganlian | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 34:28 | 6 | 36 |
9 | Suzhou Dongwu | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 21:24 | -3 | 30 |
10 | Nanjing City | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
11 | Shaanxi Union | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 28 |
12 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 21:31 | -10 | 27 |
13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 32:51 | -19 | 23 |
14 | Foshan Nanshi | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 22 |
15 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19:33 | -14 | 21 |
16 | Qingdao Red Lions | 24 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League