Result
1:3
26/04/2025 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jia League - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (428/518) | 82% (385/472) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.18 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.00 | 3.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
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| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (428/518) | 82% (385/472) |
| Long passes |
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| 36% (21/58) | 43% (27/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (78/129) | 64% (67/105) |
| Crosses |
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| 19% (3/16) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 0.77 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
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| 32 | 42 |
| Clearances |
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| 13 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 3.49 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 8', Song Runtong ↓, Pi Ziyang ↑,
- 9', 0 - 1, Mbenza G. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
- 12', 0 - 2, Zang Yifeng ⚽, Samuel A. (A),
- 20', 1 - 2, Nie Aoshuang ⚽, Nobrega J. (A),
- 45', 1 - 3, Mbenza G. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Hao Yucheng 🟨,
- 65', Chen Hao-Wei ↓, Tao Yuan ↑,
- 65', Hao Yucheng ↓, Wu Junhao ↑,
- 71', Tian Yinong ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
- 78', Nie Aoshuang ↓, Zheng Haokun ↑,
- 78', Jia Xiaochen ↓, Iskandar B. ↑,
- 82', Kunimoto T. ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
- 90+2', Zang Yifeng ↓, Sun Weijia ↑,
- 90+2', Samuel A. ↓, Gao Haisheng ↑,
Chances of winning
Qingdao Red Lions
10.5% | Draw
20.9% | Liaoning Tieren
68.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Qingdao Red Lions's form might have worsened.Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Qingdao Red Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-15.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liaoning Tieren, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Qingdao Red Lions - Liaoning Tieren Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.9 ↑
(4.38) |
4.46 ↑
(3.32) |
1.36 ↓
(1.77) |
7.3%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League).
- Recent matches Qingdao Red Lions is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Liaoning Tieren is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Liaoning Tieren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Liaoning Tieren is a favorite.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:9 (average 0.8:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Qingdao Red Lions won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Red Lions won against Liaoning Tieren?
Qingdao Red Lions has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liaoning Tieren won against Qingdao Red Lions?
Liaoning Tieren has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Red Lions - Liaoning Tieren were as follows:
12.10.2024
Qingdao Red Lions
-
Liaoning Tieren
0:1
01.06.2024
Liaoning Tieren
-
Qingdao Red Lions
2:2
Latest results of Qingdao Red Lions
Latest results of Liaoning Tieren
Chinese Jia League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Liaoning Tieren | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 41:16 | 25 | 43 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
| 3 | Yanbian Longding | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 31 |
| 4 | Guangdong GZ-Power | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28:20 | 8 | 30 |
| 5 | Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 29 |
| 6 | Shanghai Jiading Huilong | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 18:24 | -6 | 24 |
| 7 | Dalian K'un City | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Nantong Zhiyun | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:21 | 0 | 22 |
| 9 | Shaanxi Union | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 22 |
| 10 | Suzhou Dongwu | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | Dingnan Ganlian | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 20 |
| 12 | Nanjing City | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Juniors | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 25:35 | -10 | 20 |
| 14 | Foshan Nanshi | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 | Qingdao Red Lions | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 16 | Guangxi Pingguo Haliao | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Relegation ~ Yi League
