Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Brazil | Paramount+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+ |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.91 | 0.67 |
Ball Possession |
---|
54% | 46% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
91% (462/510) | 84% (376/445) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.91 | 0.67 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.85 | 0.13 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 7 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
91% (462/510) | 84% (376/445) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (19/37) | 56% (25/45) |
Passes in final third |
---|
75% (78/104) | 63% (45/71) |
Crosses |
---|
26% (7/27) | 27% (3/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.55 | 0.56 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
83% (10/12) | 85% (11/13) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 48 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.13 | 0.85 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.87 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Alisson 🟥,
- 39', Caballero H. 🟨,
- 45+2', Sanabria L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Ruan Tressoldi ↓, Robert Arboleda ↑,
- 57', Sanabria L. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
- 57', Fretes A. ↓, Melgarejo L. ↑,
- 66', Oscar ↓, Pablo Maia ↑,
- 66', Ferreira ↓, Ferraresi N. ↑,
- 67', Santa C. R. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 67', Fernandez M. ↓, Alcaraz A. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 1, Aguilar G. ⚽, Ramirez I. (A),
- 77', Soares C. ↓, Luciano ↑,
- 85', Lucas Ferreira ↓, Lucca Marques ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Lucca Marques ⚽, Pablo Maia (A),
- 90+2', Lucca Marques 🟨,
- 90+4', Campuzano A. ↓, Cardozo Lucena A. ↑,
Chances of winning
São Paulo 57.9% | Draw 27.2% | Libertad Asuncion 15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.63 ↑ (1.58) |
3.51 ↓ (3.58) |
6.23 ↓ (6.86) |
5.7% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. São Paulo will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. São Paulo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- São Paulo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Libertad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- São Paulo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, São Paulo is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in São Paulo: Henrique Carmo
(Inactive)
Igor Vinicius
(Injury)
Jonathan Calleri
(Knee Injury)
Lucas Moura
(Inactive)
Luiz Gustavo
(Contusion)
- There will not play in Libertad: Cardozo Lucena A.
(Inactive)
Gimenez N.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in São Paulo: Wendell
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, São Paulo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has São Paulo won against Libertad Asuncion?
São Paulo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against São Paulo?
Libertad Asuncion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between São Paulo - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
23.04.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
São Paulo
0:2
Latest results of São Paulo
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)