Result
4:1
20/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.40 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (267/345) | 67% (160/239) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.40 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.79 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (267/345) | 67% (160/239) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/53) | 29% (14/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (58/92) | 52% (48/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 4.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Caicedo E. ⚽, Zambrano I. (A),
- 18', Cristobal R. 🟨,
- 21', 2 - 0, Caicedo E. ⚽,
- 36', Quinonez O. ↓, Monaga J. ↑,
- 38', 3 - 0, Caicedo E. ⚽, Bolanos D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Castillo J. ↓, Minda T. ↑,
- 46', Cristobal R. ↓, Cuero Fabian ↑,
- 46', Montano J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 47', Cuero Fabian 🟨,
- 50', 3 - 1, Minda T. ⚽, Andrade J. (A),
- 70', Caicedo E. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 70', Ayovi W. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 74', Vera D. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 1, Avila D. (Pen),
- 84', Torres E. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
- 85', Avila D. 🟨,
- 87', Biojo R. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
- 87', Caicedo N. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bolanos D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Cuero Fabian 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
41.9% | Draw
28.7% | Técnico Universitario
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+3%)
Libertad Loja - Técnico Universitario Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(2.19) |
3.22 ↑
(3.21) |
3.19 ↓
(3.23) |
7.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Técnico Universitario?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Técnico Univ will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Libertad (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Libertad has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Técnico Univ has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Libertad will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Técnico Universitario?
Libertad Loja has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Libertad Loja?
Técnico Universitario has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Técnico Universitario were as follows:
24.02.2025
Técnico Universitario
-
Libertad Loja
2:2
16.09.2024
Técnico Universitario
-
Libertad Loja
3:0
30.03.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Técnico Universitario
1:0
26.11.2023
Técnico Universitario
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
10.06.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Técnico Universitario
1:0
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
Placement Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Emelec | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 33:35 | -2 | 46 |
| 9 | Macara | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | Aucas | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 40:44 | -4 | 42 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:48 | -14 | 35 |
| 12 | Delfin | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 28:48 | -20 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
