Liberty Flames vs Missouri State Bears – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (7 - 0)
03:36, Dickens E. (Touchdown),
03:36, Billingsley J. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (3 - 0)
14:56, Billingsley J. (Field Goal),
3rd Quarter (0 - 7)
10:13, Robinson J. (Touchdown),
10:13, Obeid Y. (Extra Point),
4th Quarter (7 - 14)
03:06, Clark J. (Touchdown),
03:06, Obeid Y. (Extra Point),
06:50, Vasko E. (Touchdown),
06:50, Billingsley J. (Extra Point),
14:33, Gardner T. (Touchdown),
14:33, Obeid Y. (Extra Point),

Chances of winning

Liberty Flames
71.2%

Missouri State Bears
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liberty Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Missouri State Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liberty Flames than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liberty Flames that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Missouri State Bears than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Missouri State Bears could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Liberty Flames - Missouri State Bears Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.32)		3.29 ↑ (3.18)	5.5% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

Preview Facts

Recent performances by Liberty have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Missouri State is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Missouri State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Liberty is a strong favorite.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

How many head-to-head matches has Liberty Flames won against Missouri State Bears?

Liberty Flames has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Missouri State Bears won against Liberty Flames?

Missouri State Bears has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Liberty Flames - Missouri State Bears were as follows:

Latest results of Liberty Flames

01.11.2025 Liberty Flames - Delaware Fightin Blue Hens 59:30 ✺

14.10.2025 Liberty Flames - New Mexico State Aggies 30:27 ✺

08.10.2025 UTEP Miners - Liberty Flames 8:19 ✺

27.09.2025 Old Dominion Monarchs - Liberty Flames 21:7 ✺

20.09.2025 Liberty Flames - James Madison Dukes 13:31 ✺

Latest results of Missouri State Bears

29.10.2025 Missouri State Bears - Florida International Golden Panthers 28:21 ✺

22.10.2025 New Mexico State Aggies - Missouri State Bears 17:24 ✺

08.10.2025 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Missouri State Bears 20:22 ✺

27.09.2025 Missouri State Bears - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 22:27 ✺

20.09.2025 Missouri State Bears - Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks 42:10 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Indiana	Bye
2	Oklahoma	Alabama	24 : 34
3	Texas Tech	Bye
4	Oregon	James Madison	51 : 34
5	Georgia	Bye
6	Ole Miss	Tulane	41 : 10
7	Ohio State	Bye
8	Texas A&M	Miami (FL)	3 : 10

Quarter-finals

1	Indiana	Alabama	38 : 3
2	Texas Tech	Oregon	0 : 23
3	Georgia	Ole Miss	34 : 39
4	Ohio State	Miami (FL)	14 : 24

Semi-finals

1	Indiana	Oregon	56 : 22
2	Ole Miss	Miami (FL)	27 : 31

Final

1

Indiana

Miami (FL)

27 : 21