Result
0:1
10/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 29
- Referee: Stevens T. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (333/445) | 74% (263/354) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (333/445) | 74% (263/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (35/77) | 42% (30/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (69/114) | 64% (58/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Bokadi M. (Own goal),
- 29', Muller M. 🟨,
- 40', Kennedy S. 🟨,
- 45+2', Bokadi M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kennedy S. ↓, Plastun I. ↑,
- 49', Mayoka-Tika N. 🟨,
- 63', Caliskan B. ↓, Bitumazala N. ↑,
- 63', Muller M. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
- 63', Bares G. ↓, Youndje K. ↑,
- 70', Boncina L. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
- 72', Van Genechten Y. ↓, Zague Y. ↑,
- 86', Youndje K. 🟨,
- 90', Youndje K. 🟨,
- 90+4', De Buyser W. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Eupen
54.8% | Draw
25.7% | Lierse
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Eupen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Eupen - Lierse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.82) |
3.61 ↑
(3.58) |
4.74 ↑
(3.94) |
7.7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Eupen - Lierse?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Eupen will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Eupen will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eupen won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Eupen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Eupen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Eupen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Eupen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.7:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Eupen won against Lierse?
Eupen has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lierse won against Eupen?
Lierse has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Eupen - Lierse were as follows:
23.08.2025
Lierse
-
Eupen
3:2
09.02.2025
Eupen
-
Lierse
1:3
21.09.2024
Lierse
-
Eupen
3:0
