Result
2:3
28/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 27
- Referee: Ledda M. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.55 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (352/424) | 63% (141/223) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.55 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 1.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (352/424) | 63% (141/223) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (17/39) | 36% (24/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (84/114) | 49% (35/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 69% (25/36) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.54 | 2.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.46 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 20', Sarfo E. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Stanic A. ⚽, Mertens J. (A),
- 23', Stanic A. 🟨,
- 27', De Wannemacker A. ↓, Yasuda K. ↑,
- 28', 1 - 1, Beniangba V. ⚽, Yokoyama A. (A),
- 45', 1 - 2, Mertens J. ⚽, Van Meirvenne C. (A),
- 45+4', Mertens J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', El Touile S. ↓, De Buyser W. ↑,
- 46', Manguelle B. ↓, Kapers W. ↑,
- 46', Kapers W. 🟨,
- 47', 1 - 3, Matuta E. ⚽, Mertens J. (A),
- 56', 2 - 3, Yokoyama A. ⚽, Sarfo E. (A),
- 63', Camara A. ↓, Lazar S. E. ↑,
- 74', Van Meirvenne C. ↓, Yeboah E. ↑,
- 74', Boncina L. ↓, De Vos V. ↑,
- 82', Sarfo E. ↓, Coenen J. ↑,
- 89', Vroman K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Genk U23
40.9% | Draw
25.9% | Lierse
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Genk U23 - Lierse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↓
(2.47) |
3.56 ↑
(3.4) |
2.77 ↑
(2.46) |
8.5%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Genk U23 - Lierse?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Genk U23 will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Lierse will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Genk U23 (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Genk U23 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lierse has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Genk U23 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk U23 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Genk U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Genk U23 won against Lierse?
Genk U23 has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lierse won against Genk U23?
Lierse has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk U23 - Lierse were as follows:
06.12.2025
Lierse
-
Genk U23
2:1
18.04.2025
Genk U23
-
Lierse
1:3
22.11.2024
Lierse
-
Genk U23
2:2
Latest results of Genk U23
