Result
1:3
18/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 30
- Referee: Stevens T. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.93 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (534/613) | 70% (223/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (534/613) | 70% (223/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (147/196) | 43% (24/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.40 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 80% (20/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 22 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
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| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.31 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | -0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 15', 0 - 1, Marijnissen L. ⚽,
- 30', 0 - 2, Adinany B. ⚽, Marijnissen L. (A),
- 34', 1 - 2, Lukanic L. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 3, De Kerf B. ⚽, Claes G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Yokoyama A. ↓, Lazar S. E. ↑,
- 62', Lukanic L. ↓, Yasuda K. ↑,
- 65', De Buyser W. ↓, Mawete N. ↑,
- 72', Wasinski M. ↓, Youndje K. ↑,
- 75', Onstein J. 🟨,
- 76', De Kerf B. ↓, Daguin V. ↑,
- 82', Matuta E. ↓, El Touile S. ↑,
- 82', Asare D. ↓, Sampers A. ↑,
- 83', Onstein J. ↓, Mbavu E. ↑,
- 89', Claes G. 🟨,
- 90+2', Marijnissen L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Genk U23 32.1% | Draw 24.5% | Lierse 43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genk U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Lierse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk U23 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Genk U23 - Lierse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.9 ↑ (2.83) |
3.79 ↓ (3.91) |
2.14 ↓ (2.15) |
7.5% (7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Genk U23 - Lierse?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Genk U23 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Lierse will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Genk U23 (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Genk U23 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Lierse is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Lierse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Lierse have a series of home games.
- Lierse will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Genk U23 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
How many head-to-head matches has Genk U23 won against Lierse?
Genk U23 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lierse won against Genk U23?
Lierse has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genk U23 - Lierse were as follows:
22.11.2024
Lierse
-
Genk U23
2:2
Latest results of Genk U23