ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne vs Lierse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
11/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 33
  • Referee: Simonini M. (Bel)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.533.27
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
66
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
33
Passes
66% (224/337)75% (265/354)
Yellow cards
40
Expected goals (xG)
0.533.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.432.26
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
59
Blocked shots
63
Shots inside the box
910
Shots outside the box
88
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1522
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
26
Free kicks
1517
Passes
66% (224/337)75% (265/354)
Long passes
41% (28/69)43% (30/70)
Passes in final third
53% (58/110)64% (62/97)
Crosses
31% (4/13)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.78
Throw ins
2627
Fouls
1715
Tackles
67% (10/15)67% (14/21)
Duels won
5469
Clearances
2324
Interceptions
917
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
55
xGOT faced
2.260.43
Goals prevented
1.260.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', Florica L. 🟨,
  • 36', 0 - 1, Mertens J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Florica L. , Lake T. ,
  • 65', Mbalanda J. , Omosanya M. ,
  • 65', Bettinger M. 🟨,
  • 70', Cachbach M. 🟨,
  • 71', De Buyser W. , El Touile S. ,
  • 72', Stanic A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 75', Van Elsuwege T. , De Vos V. ,
  • 80', Thea A. , Ndedi Kegne K. J. ,
  • 82', Ion R. , Berberi R. ,
  • 88', Stanic A. , Boncina L. ,
  • 88', Matuta E. , De Ridder N. ,
  • 90+5', Omosanya M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
36%
Draw
25.2%
Lierse
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 26.7% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 26% 39.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lierse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.67)
    3.66
    (3.45)
    2.39
    (2.38)
    8%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lierse?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. ROCCM will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Lierse will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • ROCCM is Relegated to
    • ROCCM has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lierse's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Lierse will win today's game, with odds of 2.42.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, ROCCM won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Lierse were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Lierse - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne 0:0
    Latest results of Lierse
    04.04.2026 Lierse - Francs Borains 0:2
    21.03.2026 RWDM Brussels - Lierse 1:1
    10.03.2026 Eupen - Lierse 0:1
    07.03.2026 Lierse - Brugge U23 2:1