Result
0:1
13/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenger Pro League - Round 25
- Referee: De Keyzer T. (Bel)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (417/507) | 78% (298/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (417/507) | 78% (298/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (39/73) | 34% (27/79) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (118/162) | 54% (54/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 1.01 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 84% (21/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', Ba A. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
- 65', Boncina L. ↓, Demuynck D. ↑,
- 67', Duarte D. ↓, Diarra D. ↑,
- 76', Yeboah E. 🟨,
- 78', Da Costa E. ↓, Kebe O. ↑,
- 79', Paulo da Silva T. ↓, Bouchentouf N. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 1, Akpa-Chukwu H. ⚽, Muland M. (A),
- 85', Willems J. ↓, Mayoka-Tika N. ↑,
- 85', Yeboah E. ↓, Sy M. ↑,
- 87', Stanic A. ↓, Hidraoui-Akachar Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lierse
42.9% | Draw
27.2% | Seraing
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lierse's form might have worsened.Seraing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seraing's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lierse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seraing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lierse - Seraing Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.76) |
3.43 ↓
(3.65) |
3.1 ↓
(4.01) |
8%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lierse - Seraing?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Lierse will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lierse: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lierse (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Seraing (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Lierse (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Lierse (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Seraing (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Lierse has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Seraing has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Lierse has had a series of away games.
- Lierse is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lierse won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lierse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lierse won against Seraing?
Lierse has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Seraing won against Lierse?
Seraing has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lierse - Seraing were as follows:
24.10.2025
Seraing
-
Lierse
1:1
28.01.2025
Seraing
-
Lierse
0:2
24.08.2024
Lierse
-
Seraing
3:2
Latest results of Seraing
