Seraing vs Lierse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Сhallenger Pro League Seraing - Lierse
Result
1:1
24/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenger Pro League - Round 11
  • Referee: Puts K. (Ned)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.871.83
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
2312
Shots on target
72
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
75% (256/340)71% (240/338)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.871.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.061.34
Total shots
2312
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
86
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
133
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2422
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
75% (256/340)71% (240/338)
Long passes
51% (38/74)33% (22/67)
Passes in final third
57% (62/108)46% (39/85)
Crosses
19% (5/27)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.020.94
Throw-ins
2323
Fouls
1416
Tackles
75% (12/16)73% (11/15)
Duels won
5762
Clearances
1332
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.341.06
Goals prevented
0.340.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, El Touile S. , Adinany B. (A),
  • 36', Muland M. 🟨,
  • 40', El Touile S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', Daguin V. 🟨,
  • 63', Bouchentouf N. , Ndiaye C. O. ,
  • 63', Da Costa E. , Faye S. ,
  • 66', Daguin V. , Sy M. ,
  • 66', El Touile S. , Demuynck D. ,
  • 74', Lenaerts M. , Gboua Y. ,
  • 74', Agne Ba A. , Lockman T. ,
  • 74', Gaye T. , Akpa-Chukwu H. ,
  • 77', De Kerf B. 🟨,
  • 82', Scarpinati M. , Boukteb B. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Akpa-Chukwu H. ,
  • 88', Sy M. , Masaki H. ,
  • 88', Mayoka-Tika N. , Matuta E. ,
  • 90+3', Soumah-Abbad E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Seraing
32.6%
Draw
26.6%
Lierse
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37% 26.1% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 25.4% 36%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Lierse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seraing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Seraing - Lierse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (2.49)
    3.51
    (3.53)
    2.32
    (2.49)
    6.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Seraing is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Lierse has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Seraing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.3:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Seraing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Seraing - Lierse were as follows:
    28.01.2025 Seraing - Lierse 0:2
    24.08.2024 Lierse - Seraing 3:2
    Latest results of Seraing
    03.10.2025 Seraing - Lommel 2:3
    27.09.2025 Beveren - Seraing 2:1
    23.09.2025 Francs Borains - Seraing 0:0
    20.09.2025 Seraing - Gent U23 0:2
    Latest results of Lierse