Jonava vs BE1 NFA Kaunas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Lithuanian Division 2 Jonava - BE1 NFA Kaunas
Result
2:1
02/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Lyga - Round 18

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 59', 2 - 0, ,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 83', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Jonava
40.3%
Draw
28.7%
BE1 NFA Kaunas
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 25.8% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1% 24.8% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jonava's form might have worsened.
  • BE1 NFA Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BE1 NFA Kaunas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jonava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BE1 NFA Kaunas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jonava - BE1 NFA Kaunas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.67)
    3.21
    (3.5)
    2.99
    (4.45)
    8.2%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation)).
    • Jonava has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • BE1 NFA is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Jonava is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Jonava won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Jonava won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jonava - BE1 NFA Kaunas were as follows:
    28.03.2025 BE1 NFA Kaunas - Jonava 0:0
    27.10.2023 BE1 NFA Kaunas - Jonava 4:1
    09.06.2023 Jonava - BE1 NFA Kaunas 1:5
    Latest results of Jonava
    26.07.2025 BFA Vilnius - Jonava 0:0
    23.07.2025 Jonava - Transinvest 0:2
    27.06.2025 Ekranas - Jonava 0:0
    Latest results of BE1 NFA Kaunas
    Lithuanian Division 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Transinvest19171157:134452
    2Tauras Taurage19126137:112642
    3Neptunas19123441:192239
    4BFA Vilnius19123429:171239
    5Babrungas19115339:271238
    6Zalgiris 21996439:281133
    7Atmosfera1974828:24425
    8FK Minija19721017:28-1123
    9Hegelmann Litauen 21965825:30-523
    10Jonava1957713:15-222
    11Kauno Zalgiris 219531126:35-918
    12Nevezis Kedainiai19521222:35-1317
    13FK Panevezys 219511321:50-2916
    14Ekranas19421318:38-2014
    15Siauliai 219421326:47-2114
    16BE1 NFA19341216:37-2113

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