Mtarfa vs Lija Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Maltese Challenge League Mtarfa - Lija Athletic
Result
2:1
22/02/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MALTA: Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 2

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
64
Shots on Goal
22
Shots off Goal
42
Corner Kicks
38
Goalkeeper Saves
10
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Agbakwuru J. C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Azzopardi Z. 🟨,
  • 55', Azzopardi Z. , Dalli C. ,
  • 57', 2 - 0, Mensah E. ,
  • 69', 2 - 1, ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mtarfa
26.3%
Draw
27%
Lija Athletic
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.2% 22.3% 61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3% 19.7% 54.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mtarfa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mtarfa's performance.
  • Lija Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lija Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mtarfa than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mtarfa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lija Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mtarfa - Lija Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (5.63)
    3.33
    (4.08)
    1.93
    (1.48)
    11%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
    • Recently Mtarfa have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Lija is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Mtarfa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.7:0.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mtarfa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mtarfa - Lija Athletic were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Mtarfa - Lija Athletic 2:1
    04.02.2023 Mtarfa - Lija Athletic 0:1
    07.09.2022 Lija Athletic - Mtarfa 0:0
    Latest results of Mtarfa
    16.02.2025 Senglea Athletic - Mtarfa 3:2
    09.02.2025 Gudja United - Mtarfa 3:1
    02.02.2025 Mtarfa - Valletta 0:2
    25.01.2025 Żebbuġ Rangers - Mtarfa 4:1
    19.01.2025 St. Andrews - Mtarfa 0:1
    Latest results of Lija Athletic
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1MelitaNaxxar0 : 1