Lilian Marmousez vs Marco Cecchinato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Braga Challenger Men Lilian Marmousez - Marco Cecchinato
Result
1:2
30/09/2025 at 10:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
57%64%
1st Serve Points Won
63% (40/64)69% (46/67)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (23/48)43% (16/37)
Break Points Saved
44% (4/9)29% (2/7)
1st Return Points Won
31% (21/67)38% (24/64)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (21/37)52% (25/48)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)56% (5/9)
Service Points Won
56% (63/112)60% (62/104)
Return Points Won
40% (42/104)44% (49/112)
Total Points Won
49% (105/216)51% (111/216)
Last 10 Balls
19
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
71% (12/17)71% (12/17)
Return Games Won
29% (5/17)29% (5/17)
Total Games Won
50% (17/34)50% (17/34)

Chances of winning


Lilian Marmousez
49.2%
Marco Cecchinato
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 51.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Lilian Marmousez - Marco Cecchinato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.96)

    1.84
    (1.72)
    6.4%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Lilian Marmousez - Marco Cecchinato?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cecchinato (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Marco Cecchinato will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Marmousez is ranked ATP: 359. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 275.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cecchinato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lilian Marmousez
    21.09.2025 Orlando Luz - Lilian Marmousez Marmousez L. retired
    03.09.2025 Niklas Schell - Lilian Marmousez Marmousez L. retired
    Latest results of Marco Cecchinato
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Seyboth Wild T.2 : 0
    2Barranco Cosano J. (LL)Araujo P. (WC)2 : 0
    3Houkes M. (RET.) (LL)Kolar Z.0 : 0
    4Travaglia S.Faria J. (5)0 : 2
    5Marmousez L. (Q)Cecchinato M.1 : 2
    6Gadamauri B. (Q)Gaubas V.1 : 2
    7Monteiro T.Squire H. (Q)1 : 2
    8Pereira T. (WC)Trungelliti M. (8)0 : 2
    9Pellegrino A. (7)Ingildsen J. (Q)0 : 2
    10Rocha F. (WC)Moro Canas A.0 : 2
    11Clarke J.Rocha H.0 : 2
    12Ymer E. (RET.)Moller E. (4)0 : 0
    13Lajovic D. (6)Rincon D.2 : 0
    14Mikrut L.Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 0
    15Ferreira Silva F.Nagal S. (Q)0 : 2
    16Torres T. (Q)Carballes Baena R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Taberner C. (1)Barranco Cosano J.
    2Kolar Z.Faria J. (5)
    3Cecchinato M.Gaubas V.
    4Squire H.Trungelliti M. (8)
    5Ingildsen J.Moro Canas A.
    6Rocha H.Moller E. (4)
    7Lajovic D. (6)Mikrut L.
    8Nagal S.Carballes Baena R. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2