Lilian Marmousez vs Timofey Skatov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
21/01/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phan Thiet, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
61
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
57%60%
1st serve points won
75% (27/36)70% (23/33)
2nd serve points won
52% (14/27)36% (8/22)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)20% (1/5)
1st return points won
42% (14/33)28% (10/36)
2nd return points won
64% (14/22)48% (13/27)
Break Points Converted
80% (4/5)50% (2/4)
Service Points Won
65% (40/62)56% (31/55)
Return Points Won
44% (24/55)35% (22/62)
Total Points Won
55% (64/117)45% (53/117)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (8/10)60% (6/10)
Return games won
40% (4/10)20% (2/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Lilian Marmousez
39.6%
Timofey Skatov
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 65.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lilian Marmousez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lilian Marmousez's form might have worsened.
  • Timofey Skatov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Timofey Skatov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lilian Marmousez that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Timofey Skatov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lilian Marmousez - Timofey Skatov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.02)

    1.54
    (1.7)
    7.5%
    (8.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Marmousez is ranked ATP: 314. Skatov is ranked ATP: 183.
    • Marmousez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Skatov has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Skatov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lilian Marmousez
    Latest results of Timofey Skatov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Watanuki Y. (1)Jasika O.1 : 2
    2Martin Tiffon P.Simakin I.1 : 2
    3Bertrand R.Dodig M. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Chung H. (Q)Peniston R. (7)2 : 0
    5Crawford O. (4)Cina F.0 : 2
    6Uchida K.Michalski D.1 : 2
    7Sakellaridis S.Ribecai M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Blanch Dar.Hsu Y. H. (8)2 : 1
    9Pavlovic L. (6)Gengel M. (Q)0 : 2
    10Bar Biryukov P.Sun F.2 : 0
    11Marmousez L. (WC)Trotter J. K.2 : 1
    12Sharipov M. (RET.)Skatov T. (3)1 : 1
    13Bailly G. A. (5)Rehberg M. H. (Q)1 : 2
    14Weber A. (Q)Vu Ha Minh Duc (WC)2 : 0
    15Kwon S. (Q)Zhou Y.2 : 0
    16Barsukov N. (WC)Mikrut L. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Jasika O.Simakin I.0 : 2
    2Bertrand R.Chung H.2 : 1
    3Cina F.Michalski D.0 : 2
    4Ribecai M.Blanch Dar.1 : 2
    5Gengel M.Bar Biryukov P.1 : 2
    6Marmousez L.Skatov T. (3)2 : 0
    7Rehberg M. H.Weber A.2 : 0
    8Kwon S.Barsukov N.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Simakin I.Bertrand R.2 : 1
    2Michalski D.Blanch Dar.2 : 1
    3Bar Biryukov P.Marmousez L.0 : 2
    4Rehberg M. H.Kwon S.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Simakin I.Michalski D.2 : 1
    2Marmousez L. (RET.)Kwon S.0 : 1

    Final
    1Simakin I.Kwon S.0 : 2