Result
1:0
29/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Europa League - League phase - Round 8
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Disney+ |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free |
 Germany | RTL+ |
 Greece | ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport, Viaplay |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 North-central-america | RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Singapore | beIN Connect |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 9 |
 Sweden | Disney+ |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus |
 World | VIX App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.41 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (477/541) | 77% (227/295) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (477/541) | 77% (227/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (32/54) | 23% (10/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (108/136) | 53% (28/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/23) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
- 60', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
- 72', Andre B. 🟨,
- 72', Beste J. ↓, Irie C. ↑,
- 74', Eggestein M. 🟥,
- 82', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
- 82', Verdonk C. ↓, Perraud R. ↑,
- 83', Manzambi J. ↓, Osterhage P. ↑,
- 83', Suzuki Y. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
- 86', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Giroud O. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Lille
48.2% | Draw
27.1% | Freiburg
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Lille - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.96) |
3.5 ↑
(3.37) |
3.87 ↓
(4.2) |
4.8%
(4.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lille - Freiburg?
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 23 - 47.9%). Freiburg will win (votes: 10 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 33.8% – 62%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Freiburg (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 60%) .
- DNB - Freiburg (2.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Freiburg (1.81) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Freiburg (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Freiburg (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Tie (votes: 9 - 39.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Lille is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Freiburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lille will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N.
(Injury)
Gomes A.
(Inactive)
Igamane H.
(Knee Injury)
Meunier T.
(Muscle Injury)
Sahraoui O.
(Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Lille: Andre B.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Freiburg: Kubler L.
(Injury)
Lienhart P.
(Abdominal strain)
- We predict that Freiburg will win today's game, with odds of 3.83.
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Freiburg?
Lille has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Lille?
Freiburg has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Freiburg were as follows:
Latest results of Freiburg
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Ludogorets (22) | Ferencvaros (12) | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Braga (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Panathinaikos (20) | Plzen (14) | 2 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Betis (4) | Bye | |
| 5 | Din. Zagreb (23) | Genk (9) | 3 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Freiburg (7) | Bye | |
| 7 | PAOK (17) | Celta Vigo (16) | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lyon (1) | Bye | |
| 9 | Celtic (21) | Stuttgart (11) | 1 : 0, 1 : 4 |
| 10 | FC Porto (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Fenerbahce (19) | Nottingham (13) | 2 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 12 | Midtjylland (3) | Bye | |
| 13 | Brann (24) | Bologna (10) | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 14 | AS Roma (8) | Bye | |
| 15 | Lille (18) | Crvena zvezda (15) | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Aston Villa (2) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Ferencvaros (12) | Braga (6) | |
| 2 | Panathinaikos (20) | Betis (4) | |
| 3 | Genk (9) | Freiburg (7) | |
| 4 | Celta Vigo (16) | Lyon (1) | |
| 5 | Stuttgart (11) | FC Porto (5) | |
| 6 | Nottingham (13) | Midtjylland (3) | |
| 7 | Bologna (10) | AS Roma (8) | |
| 8 | Lille (18) | Aston Villa (2) | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
