Lille vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
29/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Europa League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 8
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceCANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
germanyGermanyRTL+
greeceGreeceANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungarySport 2
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 9
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.640.41
Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
40
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
82
Passes
88% (477/541)77% (227/295)
Yellow cards
20
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.640.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.490.00
Total shots
104
Shots on target
40
Shots off target
31
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
63
Shots outside the box
41
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2711
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1716
Passes
88% (477/541)77% (227/295)
Long passes
59% (32/54)23% (10/43)
Passes in final third
79% (108/136)53% (28/53)
Crosses
9% (2/23)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.27
Throw ins
1514
Fouls
1617
Tackles
62% (8/13)71% (10/14)
Duels won
4544
Clearances
1530
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
03
xGOT faced
0.001.49
Goals prevented
0.000.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', Grifo V. , Scherhant D. ,
  • 60', Adamu J. , Matanovic I. ,
  • 72', Andre B. 🟨,
  • 72', Beste J. , Irie C. ,
  • 74', Eggestein M. 🟥,
  • 82', Correia F. , Giroud O. ,
  • 82', Verdonk C. , Perraud R. ,
  • 83', Manzambi J. , Osterhage P. ,
  • 83', Suzuki Y. , Jung A. ,
  • 86', Haraldsson H. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Giroud O. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Lille
48.2%
Draw
27.1%
Freiburg
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 28.4% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 30.3% 21.4%

Lille - Freiburg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.98
(1.96)
3.5
(3.37)
3.87
(4.2)
4.8%
(4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lille - Freiburg?
  • Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 23 - 47.9%). Freiburg will win (votes: 10 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 33.8%62%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Freiburg (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Tie (votes: 9 - 52.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 60%) .
    • DNB - Freiburg (2.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Freiburg (1.81) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Freiburg (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Freiburg (votes: 9 - 39.1%). Tie (votes: 9 - 39.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lille is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Freiburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lille will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Lille: Bentaleb N. (Injury) Gomes A. (Inactive) Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Meunier T. (Muscle Injury) Sahraoui O. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Andre B. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Kubler L. (Injury) Lienhart P. (Abdominal strain)
    • We predict that Freiburg will win today's game, with odds of 3.83.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Lille
    25.01.2026 Lille - Strasbourg 1:4
    22.01.2026 Celta de Vigo - Lille 2:1
    11.01.2026 Lille - Lyon 1:2
    03.01.2026 Lille - Rennes 0:2
    Latest results of Freiburg
    25.01.2026 Freiburg - Köln 2:1
    18.01.2026 Augsburg - Freiburg 2:2
    14.01.2026 RB Leipzig - Freiburg 2:0
    10.01.2026 Freiburg - Hamburger SV 2:1
    UEFA Europa League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyon870118:51321
    2Aston Villa870114:6821
    3Midtjylland861118:81019
    4Betis852113:7617
    5FC Porto852113:7617
    6Braga852111:5617
    7Freiburg852110:4617
    8AS Roma851213:6716
    9Genk851211:7416
    10Bologna843114:7715
    11Stuttgart850315:9615
    12Ferencvaros843112:11115
    13Nottingham842215:7814
    14Plzen83508:3514
    15Crvena zvezda84227:6114
    16Celta Vigo841315:11413
    17PAOK833217:14312
    18Lille840412:9312
    19Fenerbahce833210:7312
    20Panathinaikos833211:9212
    21Celtic832313:15-211
    22Ludogorets831412:15-310
    23Din. Zagreb831412:16-410
    24Brann82339:11-29
    25Young Boys830510:16-69
    26Sturm Graz82155:11-67
    27FCSB82159:16-77
    28G.A. Eagles82156:14-87
    29Feyenoord820611:15-46
    30Basel82069:13-46
    31Salzburg820610:15-56
    32Rangers81165:14-94
    33Nice81077:15-83
    34Utrecht80175:15-101
    35Malmo FF80174:15-111
    36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:22-201

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