Result
1:0
24/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 2
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belarus | Okko Sport |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 4 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (345/416) | 79% (337/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (345/416) | 79% (337/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (28/46) | 33% (18/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (85/114) | 68% (74/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Mukau N. ↓, Fernandez-Pardo M. ↑,
- 74', Teze J. ↓, Vanderson ↑,
- 74', Minamino T. ↓, Biereth M. ↑,
- 74', Golovin A. ↓, Ben Seghir E. ↑,
- 81', Correia F. ↓, Bentaleb N. ↑,
- 83', Genesio B. 🟨,
- 85', Caio Henrique ↓, Ouattara K. ↑,
- 86', Bentaleb N. 🟨,
- 87', Camara L. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Giroud O. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
- 90+7', Mawissa C. 🟨,
- 90+9', Giroud O. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Lille
29% | Draw
26% | Monaco
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monaco's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monaco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lille - Monaco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↑
(2.8) |
3.65 ↑
(3.38) |
2.12 ↓
(2.36) |
4.9%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lille - Monaco?
Users Predictions:
52 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 10 - 19.2%). Monaco will win (votes: 33 - 63.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 17.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 50.4% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Monaco (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 2.
- Lille has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Monaco is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lille has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Monaco has had a series of home games.
- Monaco could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Lille: Caillard M.
(Elbow Injury)
Gomes A.
(Injury)
Mbappe E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sahraoui O.
(Foot Injury)
Santos T.
(Knee Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Monaco: Pogba P.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- There are questionable in Monaco: Embolo B.
(Inactive)
Fati A.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Salisu M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.8:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Monaco?
Lille has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Lille?
Monaco has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Monaco were as follows:
22.02.2025
Lille
-
Monaco
2:1
18.10.2024
Monaco
-
Lille
0:0
24.04.2024
Monaco
-
Lille
1:0
29.10.2023
Lille
-
Monaco
2:0
14.05.2023
Monaco
-
Lille
0:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Monaco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 7 |
| 5 | Marseille | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Lens | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Nice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Angers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Nantes | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Brest | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Metz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
