Lille vs Monaco, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Lille - Monaco
24/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Lille
30.2%
Draw
26%
Monaco
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.2% 27.5% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33% 27.4% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Lille - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (2.8)
    3.74
    (3.38)
    2.24
    (2.36)
    2.9%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Lille - Monaco?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Monaco will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 47.5%89.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 2.
    • In recent matches, Lille has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Monaco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Monaco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Lille has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Monaco has had a series of home games.
    • Monaco might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.8:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Monaco were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Lille - Monaco 2:1
    18.10.2024 Monaco - Lille 0:0
    24.04.2024 Monaco - Lille 1:0
    29.10.2023 Lille - Monaco 2:0
    14.05.2023 Monaco - Lille 0:0
    Latest results of Lille
    17.08.2025 Brest - Lille 3:3
    09.08.2025 West Ham United - Lille 1:1
    06.08.2025 Lille - Venezia 3:0
    02.08.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Lille 3:2
    18.07.2025 Como - Lille 3:2
    Latest results of Monaco
    16.08.2025 Monaco - Le Havre 3:1
    08.08.2025 Monaco - Inter Milan 1:2
    03.08.2025 Ajax - Monaco 2:2
    31.07.2025 Monaco - Torino 3:1
    30.07.2025 Monaco - Torino 3:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG22002:026
    2Monaco11003:123
    3Strasbourg11001:013
    4Toulouse11001:013
    5Lyon11001:013
    6Auxerre11001:013
    7Rennes11001:013
    8Angers21011:103
    9Lille10103:301
    10Brest10103:301
    11Lorient10010:1-10
    12Metz10010:1-10
    13Nantes10010:1-10
    14Nice10010:1-10
    15Paris FC10010:1-10
    16Marseille10010:1-10
    17Lens10010:1-10
    18Le Havre10011:3-20

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2