Result
0:2
03/01/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 17
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | TV5 Monde Europe |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 4 |
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (316/379) | 90% (540/603) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (316/379) | 90% (540/603) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (22/42) | 61% (23/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (54/83) | 84% (163/195) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 14% (4/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.66 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.00 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Alexsandro 🟥,
- 14', Andre B. 🟨,
- 30', Jacquet J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', 0 - 1, Frankowski P. ⚽, Brassier L. (A),
- 56', 0 - 2, Merlin Q. ⚽, Embolo B. (A),
- 62', Meite M. ↓, Lepaul E. ↑,
- 62', Merlin Q. ↓, Blas L. ↑,
- 70', Broholm M. ↓, Correia F. ↑,
- 70', Fernandez-Pardo M. ↓, Bouaddi A. ↑,
- 71', Giroud O. ↓, Diaoune S. ↑,
- 74', Verdonk C. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
- 84', Haraldsson H. ↓, Sahraoui O. ↑,
- 90+2', Tamari M. ↓, Legendre E. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mwfjmzuu
Chances of winning
Lille
54.6% | Draw
24.5% | Rennes
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lille - Rennes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.85) |
3.88 ↑
(3.68) |
4.55 ↑
(4.05) |
4.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lille - Rennes?
Users Predictions:
52 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 41 - 78.8%). Rennes will win (votes: 3 - 5.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 67.7% – 89.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Rennes (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Rennes (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Lille (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Lille (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Lille (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lille will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Lille (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Rennes (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lille won 3.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Recently, Lille has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lille is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lille: Igamane H.
(International duty)
Mandi A.
(International duty)
Mbemba Ch.
(International duty)
Mukau N.
(International duty)
Ngoy N.
(Red Card)
Perraud R.
(Red Card)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rennes: Ait Boudlal A.
(International duty)
Fofana S.
(International duty)
Nagida M.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Lille: Fernandez-Pardo M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lille won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lille won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Rennes?
Lille has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Lille?
Rennes has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lille - Rennes were as follows:
16.02.2025
Rennes
-
Lille
0:2
24.11.2024
Lille
-
Rennes
1:0
10.03.2024
Lille
-
Rennes
2:2
16.09.2023
Rennes
-
Lille
2:2
04.02.2023
Rennes
-
Lille
1:3
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lens | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | PSG | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 40:15 | 25 | 42 |
| 3 | Marseille | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 41:19 | 22 | 35 |
| 4 | Lyon | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27:18 | 9 | 33 |
| 5 | Lille | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 | Rennes | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 30:25 | 5 | 31 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | Monaco | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 23 |
| 10 | Brest | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 22 |
| 11 | Angers | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20:25 | -5 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 23:30 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 24:32 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 15 | Nice | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 21:35 | -14 | 18 |
| 16 | Nantes | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14:28 | -14 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19:40 | -21 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
