Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 26
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bolivia | ESPN 4 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Caze TV |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Ecuador | ESPN 4 |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | ART Sport 5 |
Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
Paraguay | ESPN 4 |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV5 |
Romania | Voyo |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 3 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
South-africa | SuperSport Variety 3 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 4, Inter |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.63 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (494/580) | 79% (315/401) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 2.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (494/580) | 79% (315/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 39% (25/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (112/159) | 61% (42/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.11 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽, Ngoy N. (A),
- 16', Bentaleb N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 2, Haraldsson H. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
- 59', 1 - 2, Lepaul E. ⚽,
- 65', Nagida M. 🟨,
- 70', Tamari M. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
- 70', Nagida M. ↓, Frankowski P. ↑,
- 71', Nordin A. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
- 71', Ozer B. 🟨,
- 73', Mandi A. 🟨,
- 74', Mukau N. ↓, Perraud R. ↑,
- 81', Blas L. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
- 84', Frankowski P. 🟨,
- 85', Correia F. 🟨,
- 85', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
- 85', Verdonk C. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
- 87', Rouault A. ↓, Ait Boudlal A. ↑,
- 89', Haraldsson H. ↓, Alexsandro ↑,
- 90+3', Ngoy N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rennes 42.3% | Draw 29.2% | Lille 28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+3%)
Rennes - Lille Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↓ (2.48) |
3.26 ↓ (3.35) |
3.36 ↑ (2.81) |
4.5% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rennes - Lille?
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 36 - 66.7%). Lille will win (votes: 7 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 54.1% – 79.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Rennes (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Rennes (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- DC - Rennes (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Rennes (1.60) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.25 - Rennes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Rennes (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Lille (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 1.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Rennes could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Rennes: Jacquet J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Lille: Igamane H.
(Knee Injury)
Mbappe E.
(Thigh Injury)
Sahraoui O.
(Injury)
Toure O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rennes: Seidu A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Lille: Andre B.
(Injury)
Caillard M.
(Injury)
Perrin G.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Rennes won against Lille?
Rennes has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Rennes?
Lille has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Lille were as follows:
03.01.2026
Lille
-
Rennes
0:2
16.02.2025
Rennes
-
Lille
0:2
24.11.2024
Lille
-
Rennes
1:0
10.03.2024
Lille
-
Rennes
2:2
16.09.2023
Rennes
-
Lille
2:2
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2