Lilli Tagger vs Alina Korneeva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
05/05/2026 at 05:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Final

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
43
1st serve percentage
67%78%
1st serve points won
52% (25/48)64% (32/50)
2nd serve points won
46% (11/24)43% (6/14)
Break Points Saved
6/119/11
1st return points won
36% (18/50)48% (23/48)
2nd return points won
57% (8/14)54% (13/24)
Break Points Converted
2/115/11
Service Points Won
50% (36/72)59% (38/64)
Return Points Won
41% (26/64)50% (36/72)
Total Points Won
46% (62/136)54% (74/136)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
20
Service games won
44% (4/9)78% (7/9)
Return games won
22% (2/9)56% (5/9)
Total games won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Lilli Tagger
72.5%
Alina Korneeva
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.5% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lilli Tagger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lilli Tagger's performance.
  • Alina Korneeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alina Korneeva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilli Tagger than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lilli Tagger that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Korneeva than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alina Korneeva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lilli Tagger - Alina Korneeva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.43)

    3.42
    (2.71)
    6.6%
    (6.8%)
    What is the prediction for Lilli Tagger - Alina Korneeva?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Tagger will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tagger is ranked WTA: 92. Korneeva is ranked WTA: 122.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Tagger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Tagger is a strong favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Alina Korneeva
    09.04.2026 Lina Gjorcheska - Alina Korneeva Korneeva A. Retired
    06.03.2026 Alina Korneeva - Erika Andreeva Andreeva E. walkover
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bye
    2Krejcikova B.Jacquemot E.2 : 0
    3Linette M.Maria T.
    4ByeCirstea S. (26)
    5Tauson C. (18)Bye
    6Marcinko P.Oliynykova O.0 : 2
    7Zakharova A.Yastremska D.2 : 1
    8ByeNoskova L. (13)
    9Bencic B. (12)Bye
    10Kenin S.Andreescu B. (WC)0 : 2
    11Siniakova K.Boisson L.
    12ByeKalinskaya A. (22)
    13Bucsa C. (30)Bye
    14Bondar A.Zheng Q.1 : 2
    15Stefanini L. (WC)Ostapenko J.
    16ByeAnisimova A. (6)
    17Gauff C. (3)Bye
    18Putintseva Y.Valentova T.
    19Sierra S.Korpatsch T. (Q)
    20ByeKalinina A. (Q)
    21Bouzkova M. (24)Bye
    22Townsend T. (Q)Brancaccio N. (WC)
    23Kessler M.Bronzetti L. (WC)2 : 1
    24ByeJovic I. (16)
    25Paolini J. (9)Bye
    26Jeanjean L. (Q)Haddad Maia B.
    27Udvardy P.Korneeva A. (Q)
    28ByeMertens E. (21)
    29Joint M. (29)Bye
    30Golubic V.Urgesi F. (Q)
    31Ruzic A.Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    32ByeAndreeva M. (8)
    33Pegula J. (5)Bye
    34Sonmez Z.Ruggeri J. (WC)2 : 1
    35Selekhmeteva O.Masarova R. (Q)
    36ByeFernandez L. (25)
    37Samsonova L. (20)Bye
    38Li A.Zhang S.2 : 1
    39Galfi D. (Q)Potapova A. (Q)
    40ByeMuchova K. (11)
    41Osaka N. (15)Bye
    42Boulter K.Lys E.
    43Trevisan M. (WC)Gibson T.1 : 2
    44ByeShnaider D. (19)
    45Navarro E. (28)Bye
    46Cocciaretto E.Kraus S. (Q)
    47McNally C.Kasatkina D.
    48ByeSwiatek I. (4)
    49Svitolina E. (7)Bye
    50Basiletti N. (Q)Tomljanovic A. (LL)
    51Starodubtseva Y.Waltert S. (Q)
    52ByeBaptiste H. (32)
    53Keys M. (17)Bye
    54Stearns P.Tjen J.
    55Pigato L. (WC)Grant T. C. (WC)
    56ByeMboko V. (10)
    57Alexandrova E. (14)Bye
    58Siegemund L.Bejlek S.
    59Pliskova Ka.Bouzas Maneiro J.
    60ByeCristian J. (33)
    61Wang Xin. (31)Bye
    62Eala A.Frech M.
    63Tagger L. (LL)Sakkari M.
    64ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Krejcikova B.
    2TBD #3Cirstea S. (26)
    3Tauson C. (18)Oliynykova O.
    4Zakharova A.Noskova L. (13)
    5Bencic B. (12)Andreescu B.
    6TBD #11Kalinskaya A. (22)
    7Bucsa C. (30)Zheng Q.
    8TBD #15Anisimova A. (6)
    9Gauff C. (3)TBD #18
    10TBD #19Kalinina A.
    11Bouzkova M. (24)TBD #22
    12Kessler M.Jovic I. (16)
    13Paolini J. (9)TBD #26
    14TBD #27Mertens E. (21)
    15Joint M. (29)TBD #30
    16Ruzic A.Andreeva M. (8)
    17Pegula J. (5)Sonmez Z.
    18TBD #35Fernandez L. (25)
    19Samsonova L. (20)Li A.
    20TBD #39Muchova K. (11)
    21Osaka N. (15)TBD #42
    22Gibson T.Shnaider D. (19)
    23Navarro E. (28)TBD #46
    24TBD #47Swiatek I. (4)
    25Svitolina E. (7)TBD #50
    26TBD #51Baptiste H. (32)
    27Keys M. (17)TBD #54
    28TBD #55Mboko V. (10)
    29Alexandrova E. (14)TBD #58
    30TBD #59Cristian J. (33)
    31Wang Xin. (31)TBD #62
    32TBD #63Rybakina E. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2