Result
0:2
18/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luzhou, hard - 1/16-finals
Chances of winning
Linang Xiao
55.3% | Luca Castelnuovo
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Linang Xiao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Linang Xiao's performance.Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Castelnuovo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linang Xiao than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Linang Xiao that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castelnuovo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Linang Xiao - Luca Castelnuovo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.83) |
|
2.08 ↑
(1.83) |
7.7%
(9.3%) | |
Preview Facts
- Xiao is ranked ATP: 652. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 663.
- Xiao has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Castelnuovo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Castelnuovo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Linang Xiao won against Luca Castelnuovo?
Linang Xiao has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castelnuovo won against Linang Xiao?
Luca Castelnuovo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Linang Xiao - Luca Castelnuovo were as follows:
Latest results of Linang Xiao
Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Cui J. (1) | Wang X. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Sinclair C. | Huang T. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Mo Y. C. (RET.) | Chanta T. | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Chappell N. (RET.) | Imai S. (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Sasikumar M. (3) | Mochizuki Y. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Leong M. W. K. | Zhang T. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Mitsui S. | Sornlaksup P. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Zhang M. | Gerasimov E. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Kumasaka T. (8) | Honda N. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Park U. | Li Z. (RET.) | 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Santillan A. | Zhu E. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Te R. | Isomura K. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Shin W. (5) | Lomakin G. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Trongcharoenchaikul W. | Masabayashi T. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Xiao L. | Castelnuovo L. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Luo J. H. | Samrej K. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cui J. (1) | Huang T. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Chanta T. | Imai S. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Mochizuki Y. | Leong M. W. K. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Mitsui S. | Gerasimov E. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Kumasaka T. (8) | Park U. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Zhu E. | Isomura K. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Shin W. (5) | Trongcharoenchaikul W. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Castelnuovo L. | Samrej K. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cui J. (1) | Imai S. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Leong M. W. K. | Mitsui S. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Kumasaka T. (8) | Zhu E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Shin W. (RET.) (5) | Castelnuovo L. | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cui J. (1) | Mitsui S. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Kumasaka T. (8) | Castelnuovo L. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Cui J. (1) | Castelnuovo L. | 0 : 2 |
