Larne vs Lincoln Red Imps – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Larne - Lincoln Red Imps
Result
3:1
29/08/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
worldWorldBBC Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
78
Shots on Goal
46
Shots off Goal
12
Blocked Shots
20
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
20
Goalkeeper Saves
51
Fouls
149
Red Cards
10
Yellow Cards
71
Attacks
113100
Dangerous Attacks
10366

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Lopes B. , Nano (A),
  • 30', 1 - 1, Ryan A. (Pen),
  • 39', Gallagher C. 🟨,
  • 42', Torrilla G. 🟨,
  • 43', 2 - 1, Ryan A. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bolger C. , McEneff J. ,
  • 52', McEneff J. 🟨,
  • 54', Lynch T. 🟨,
  • 56', Torrilla G. , Yahaya M. ,
  • 59', Gallagher C. 🟨,
  • 66', Ives L. 🟨,
  • 78', Lusty M. , Magee B. ,
  • 81', Garcia T. , Villacanas V. ,
  • 83', 3 - 1, Ryan A. , Magee B. (A),
  • 87', Ayew I. , Casciaro L. ,
  • 90+1', Ferguson R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Ryan A. , Devlin O. ,
  • 90+3', Thomson J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Larne
55.1%
Draw
26.3%
Lincoln Red Imps
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 26.1% 17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 25.1% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Lincoln Red Imps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln Red Imps than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Larne - Lincoln Red Imps Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.68)
    3.59
    (3.65)
    5
    (5.58)
    6.3%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Larne - Lincoln Red Imps?
  • Users Predictions: Larne will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.01%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Windsor Park. 1st leg result: 1-2.
    • Larne is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Lincoln Red Imps is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Larne is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Larne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Lincoln Red Imps were as follows:
    22.08.2024 Lincoln Red Imps - Larne 2:1
    Latest results of Larne
    22.08.2024 Lincoln Red Imps - Larne 2:1
    15.08.2024 Larne - Ballkani 1:1
    08.08.2024 Ballkani - Larne 0:1
    17.07.2024 Larne - RFS 0:4
    10.07.2024 RFS - Larne 3:0
    Latest results of Lincoln Red Imps
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Lech Poznan21015:323
    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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