Result
3:1
29/08/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Fahndrich L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport |
World | BBC Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 113 | 100 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 103 | 66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Lopes B. ⚽, Nano (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Ryan A. (Pen),
- 39', Gallagher C. 🟨,
- 42', Torrilla G. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 1, Ryan A. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bolger C. ↓, McEneff J. ↑,
- 52', McEneff J. 🟨,
- 54', Lynch T. 🟨,
- 56', Torrilla G. ↓, Yahaya M. ↑,
- 59', Gallagher C. 🟨,
- 66', Ives L. 🟨,
- 78', Lusty M. ↓, Magee B. ↑,
- 81', Garcia T. ↓, Villacanas V. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Ryan A. ⚽, Magee B. (A),
- 87', Ayew I. ↓, Casciaro L. ↑,
- 90+1', Ferguson R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ryan A. ↓, Devlin O. ↑,
- 90+3', Thomson J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Larne 55.1% | Draw 26.3% | Lincoln Red Imps 18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Lincoln Red Imps has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lincoln Red Imps than the current prediction. (-2%)
Larne - Lincoln Red Imps Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↑ (1.68) |
3.59 ↓ (3.65) |
5 ↓ (5.58) |
6.3% (5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Larne - Lincoln Red Imps?
Users Predictions:
Larne will win
(11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Windsor Park. 1st leg result: 1-2.
- Larne is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Lincoln Red Imps is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Larne is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Larne won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
How many head-to-head matches has Larne won against Lincoln Red Imps?
Larne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln Red Imps won against Larne?
Lincoln Red Imps has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Larne - Lincoln Red Imps were as follows:
22.08.2024
Lincoln Red Imps
-
Larne
2:1
Latest results of Lincoln Red Imps
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fiorentina | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Celje | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Lausanne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Mainz | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Noah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | AEK Athens FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Zrinjski | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Legia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Rijeka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Shkendija | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 23 | Drita | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | Hacken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 25 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 26 | Omonia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Shelbourne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 28 | Sigma Olomouc | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Univ. Craiova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Hamrun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 | Shamrock Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 | Dyn. Kyiv | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 | SK Rapid | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 | Aberdeen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)