Linda Noskova vs Karolina Muchova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA US Open Linda Noskova - Karolina Muchova
Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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polandPolandHBO Max
romaniaRomaniaHBO Max
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sloveniaSloveniaHBO Max
spainSpainHBO Max
swedenSwedenHBO Max

Match Stats

Aces
77
Double Faults
152
1st Serve Percentage
62%59%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (47/77)73% (37/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
42% (20/48)57% (20/35)
Break Points Saved
72% (13/18)0% (0/2)
Average 1st Serve Speed
150 km/h156 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
132 km/h125 km/h
1st Return Points Won
29% (15/51)40% (31/77)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (15/35)58% (28/48)
Break Points Converted
100% (2/2)28% (5/18)
Winners
3440
Unforced Errors
4725
Net Points Won
68% (21/31)83% (15/18)
Service Points Won
53% (66/124)66% (57/86)
Return Points Won
34% (29/86)47% (58/124)
Total Points Won
45% (95/210)55% (115/210)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
67% (10/15)87% (13/15)
Return Games Won
13% (2/15)33% (5/15)
Total Games Won
40% (12/30)60% (18/30)
Distance Covered (metres)
15961811

Chances of winning


Linda Noskova
49.4%
Karolina Muchova
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46% 54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 52.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Linda Noskova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Karolina Muchova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linda Noskova than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Linda Noskova - Karolina Muchova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (2.08)

    1.88
    (1.77)
    4.7%
    (4.7%)
    What is the prediction for Linda Noskova - Karolina Muchova?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Noskova will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Muchova will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Noskova (votes: 1 - 50%). Muchova (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Noskova is ranked WTA: 32. Muchova is ranked WTA: 13.
    • Noskova is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Muchova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Muchova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Linda Noskova
    28.08.2025 Linda Noskova - Eva Lys Lys E. retired
    20.08.2025 Linda Noskova - Lulu Sun 2:0
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)Kudermetova P.0 : 0
    3Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    4Marino R. (Q)Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (19)Ahn A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Sun L.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Bucsa C.Liu C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Eala A.Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    9Rybakina E. (9)Pareja J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    11Raducanu E.Shibahara E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tjen J. (Q)Kudermetova V. (24)2 : 1
    13Kessler M. (32)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    15Sasnovich A.Jovic I.0 : 2
    16Aiava D. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    18Starodubtseva Y.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    19Azarenka V.Inoue H. (Q)2 : 0
    20Pavlyuchenkova A.Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    21Samsonova L. (17)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    22Jeanjean L.Hon P. (Q)0 : 2
    23Li A.Sramkova R.2 : 1
    24Zhang S. (Q)Bencic B. (16)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (10)Wang Y.2 : 0
    26Teichmann J.McNally C. (WC)0 : 2
    27Uchijima M.Danilovic O.2 : 1
    28Krejcikova B.Mboko V. (22)2 : 0
    29Ostapenko J. (25)Wang Xiy. (Q)2 : 0
    30Townsend T.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Zhu L.2 : 1
    32Parks A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    33Keys M. (6)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    34Kvitova P.Parry D.0 : 2
    35Volynets K. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    36Boulter K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    37Noskova L. (21)Galfi D. (Q)2 : 0
    38Jones F. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    39Cirstea S.Sierra S.2 : 0
    40Williams V. (WC)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    41Kasatkina D. (15)Ruse G.2 : 0
    42Rakhimova K.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 1
    43Baptiste H.Siniakova K.2 : 0
    44Minnen G.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    45Frech M. (28)Gibson T. (WC)2 : 0
    46Semenistaja D. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    47Vekic D.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    48Tomljanovic A.Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    49Anisimova A. (8)Birrell K.2 : 0
    50Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    51Collins D.Cristian J.0 : 2
    52Krueger A.Kenin S. (26)2 : 1
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Kartal S.2 : 1
    54Boisson L.Golubic V.1 : 2
    55Sakkari M.Maria T.2 : 0
    56Bondar A.Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    57Alexandrova E. (13)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    58Dolehide C.Wang Xin.1 : 2
    59Zakharova A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    60Siegemund L.Shnaider D. (20)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (29)Ngounoue C. (WC)2 : 1
    62Putintseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    63Lamens S.Glozman V. (WC)2 : 0
    64Arango E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    2Jacquemot E.Fernandez L. (31)1 : 2
    3Mertens E. (19)Sun L.2 : 0
    4Bucsa C.Eala A.2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (9)Valentova T.2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Tjen J.2 : 0
    7Kessler M. (32)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (4)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    10Azarenka V.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    11Samsonova L. (17)Hon P.1 : 2
    12Li A.Bencic B. (16)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)McNally C.2 : 0
    14Uchijima M.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    15Ostapenko J. (25)Townsend T.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    17Zarazua R.Parry D.1 : 2
    18Sonmez Z.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    19Noskova L. (21)Lys E. (RET.)1 : 0
    20Cirstea S.Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    21Kasatkina D. (15)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    22Baptiste H.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    23Frech M. (28)Stearns P.2 : 1
    24Vekic D.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Anisimova A. (8)Joint M.2 : 0
    26Cristian J.Krueger A.2 : 1
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Golubic V.2 : 0
    28Sakkari M.Bondar A.2 : 0
    29Alexandrova E. (13)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    30Zakharova A.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    31Kalinskaya A. (29)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    32Lamens S.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Fernandez L. (31)2 : 0
    2Mertens E. (19)Bucsa C.1 : 2
    3Rybakina E. (9)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    4Vondrousova M.Paolini J. (7)2 : 0
    5Pegula J. (4)Azarenka V.2 : 0
    6Hon P.Li A.0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (10)Krejcikova B.1 : 2
    8Townsend T.Andreeva M. (5)2 : 0
    9Parry D.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    10Noskova L. (21)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    11Kasatkina D. (15)Osaka N. (23)1 : 2
    12Frech M. (28)Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    13Anisimova A. (8)Cristian J.
    14Haddad Maia B. (18)Sakkari M.
    15Alexandrova E. (13)Siegemund L.
    16Kalinskaya A. (29)Swiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bucsa C.
    2Rybakina E. (9)Vondrousova M.
    3Pegula J. (4)Li A.
    4Krejcikova B.Townsend T.
    5Kostyuk M. (27)Muchova K. (11)
    6Osaka N. (23)Gauff C. (3)
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2