Lions vs Llanelli Scarlets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union United Rugby Championship Lions - Llanelli Scarlets
Result
19:32
11/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • United Rugby Championship - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
peruPeruDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, FloSports app, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, S4C, URC
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
34
Conversion Goals
23
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
01
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 17)
  • 6', Lousi S. 🟨,
  • 15', Murray B. (Try),
  • 16', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 28', Murray B. (Try),
  • 29', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', Steyn N. (Try),
  • 34', Wolhuter K. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Davis D. 🟨,
  • 40+1', Costelow S. (Drop Goal),
  • 2nd Half (12 - 15)
  • 45', Plumtree T. (Try),
  • 50', Kriel R. (Try),
  • 51', Dobela L. (Conversion Goal),
  • 55', Pretorius J. 🟨,
  • 61', Kriel R. (Try),
  • 71', Williams J. (Try),
  • 72', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 79', Costelow S. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Lions
59.7%
Draw
4%
Llanelli Scarlets
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.2% 4% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lions's form might have worsened.
  • Llanelli Scarlets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llanelli Scarlets's recent form is better than expected.
  • Lions - Llanelli Scarlets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.29)
    23.29
    (23.5)
    2.55
    (3.9)
    7.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 60.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for Lions - Llanelli Scarlets?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Lions will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 33:28.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lions has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Scarlets has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lions could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lions won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 69:74. (average 23:24.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Lions won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 32:15.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lions - Llanelli Scarlets were as follows:
    11.11.2023 Llanelli Scarlets - Lions 23:24
    04.12.2022 Lions - Llanelli Scarlets 32:15
    Latest results of Lions
    26.04.2025 Lions - Connacht 26:7
    19.04.2025 Lions - Benetton Treviso 31:42
    04.04.2025 Edinburgh - Lions 24:12
    29.03.2025 Glasgow Warriors - Lions 42:0
    21.03.2025 Cardiff Rugby - Lions 20:17
    Latest results of Llanelli Scarlets
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Leinster (1)Scarlets (8)33 : 21
    2Glasgow Warriors (4)Stormers (5)36 : 18
    3Bulls (2)Edinburgh (7)42 : 33
    4Sharks (3)Munster (6)25 : 24

    Semi-finals
    1Leinster (1)Glasgow Warriors (4)37 : 19
    2Bulls (2)Sharks (3)25 : 13

    Final
    1Leinster (1)Bulls (2)32 : 7