Finland vs Lithuania, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket Finland - Lithuania
Result
78:81
01/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EuroBasket - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
finlandFinlandRuutu+
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 4
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
italyItalyDAZN Italia
lithuaniaLithuaniaTV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, SportKlub 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 3
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenSVT Play
worldWorldCourt Side 1891

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7371
Field Goals Made
3032
Field Goals %
41.1%45.1%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4448
2-Point Field Goals Made
2026
2-Point Field Goals %
45.5%54.2%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2923
3-Point Field Goals Made
106
3-Point Field Goals %
34.5%26.1%
Free Throws Attempted
1015
Free Throws Made
812
Free Throws %
80%80%
Offensive Rebounds
1312
Defensive Rebounds
2426
Total Rebounds
3738
Assists
2021
Blocks
62
Turnovers
1414
Steals
68
Personal Fouls
2117

Highlights

Chances of winning


Finland
41.7%
Lithuania
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 63.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Finland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Finland's performance.
  • Lithuania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lithuania might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Finland than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lithuania than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Finland - Lithuania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.9)

    1.65
    (1.43)
    3.6%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 175.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Finland - Lithuania?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 33 - 73.3%). Lithuania will win (votes: 12 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Finland: 60.4%86.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Finland will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:90.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finland won 1.
    • Finland has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Lithuania's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lithuania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Lithuania will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Finland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 674:822. (average 67.4:82.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Finland - Lithuania were as follows:
    14.08.2023 Lithuania - Finland 84:80
    04.08.2023 Finland - Lithuania 81:79
    Latest results of Finland
    30.08.2025 Montenegro - Finland 65:85
    29.08.2025 Finland - Great Britain 109:79
    27.08.2025 Sweden - Finland 90:93
    21.08.2025 Finland - Poland 106:87
    17.08.2025 Poland - Finland 88:97
    Latest results of Lithuania
    30.08.2025 Lithuania - Germany 88:107
    29.08.2025 Lithuania - Montenegro 94:67
    27.08.2025 Great Britain - Lithuania 70:94
    22.08.2025 Lithuania - Iceland 96:83
    20.08.2025 Lithuania - Turkey 81:84
    EuroBasket Table
    Final tournament

    Group A
    PlWLPts
    1Turkey550459:35910
    2Serbia541434:3689
    3Latvia532412:3848
    4Portugal523315:3687
    5Estonia514352:3976
    6Czech Republic505338:4345


    Group B
    PlWLPts
    1Germany550529:36510
    2Lithuania541431:3939
    3Finland532426:4068
    4Sweden514403:4186
    5Montenegro514378:4556
    6Great Britain514354:4846


    Group C
    PlWLPts
    1Greece ✔ 541432:3549
    2Italy ✔ 541396:3339
    3Bosnia & Herzegovina532401:4018
    4Georgia523367:3867
    5Spain523397:3547
    6Cyprus505295:4605


    Group D
    PlWLPts
    1France ✔ 541461:3919
    2Poland ✔ 532400:3878
    3Slovenia ✔ 532469:4528
    4Israel ✔ 532417:4018
    5Belgium523363:4037
    6Iceland505363:4395

          Promotion ~ EuroBasket (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Greece is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Italy is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    France is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Poland is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Slovenia is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Israel is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)