Lithuania vs Greece, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

09/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Xiaomi Arena (Riga).

EuroBasket - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	CT sport, CT sport Plus
Denmark	DAZN
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Italy	DAZN Italia
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5
Poland	TVP Sport
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Sweden	DAZN, SVT Play
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Court Side 1891

Match Stats


Field Goals Attempted
56	59
Field Goals Made
26	28
Field Goals %
46.43%	47.46%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
34	30
2-Point Field Goals Made
18	19
2-Point Field Goals %
52.94%	63.33%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
22	29
3-Point Field Goals Made
8	9
3-Point Field Goals %
36.36%	31.03%
Free Throws Attempted
21	28
Free Throws Made
16	22
Free Throws %
76.2%	78.6%
Offensive Rebounds
6	3
Defensive Rebounds
28	28
Total Rebounds
34	31
Assists
22	15
Blocks
1	5
Turnovers
13	12
Steals
5	9
Personal Fouls
25	23

Highlights

Chances of winning

Lithuania
31.4%

Greece
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

71.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Greece has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lithuania than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greece than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Lithuania - Greece Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.3)		1.4 ↑ (1.37)	4.4% (3.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

What is the prediction for Lithuania - Greece?

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Lithuania will win (votes: 30 - 75%). Greece will win (votes: 10 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lithuania: 61.6% – 88.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lithuania will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 79:86.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 2.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Lithuania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Greece is seen as the favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 366:358. (average 61:59.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Lithuania won against Greece?

Lithuania has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Greece won against Lithuania?

Greece has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lithuania - Greece were as follows:

01.09.2023 Lithuania - Greece 92:67

Latest results of Lithuania

06.09.2025 Lithuania - Latvia 88:79 ✺

03.09.2025 Lithuania - Sweden 74:71 ✺

01.09.2025 Finland - Lithuania 78:81 ✺

30.08.2025 Lithuania - Germany 88:107 ✺

29.08.2025 Lithuania - Montenegro 94:67 ✺

Latest results of Greece

07.09.2025 Greece - Israel 84:79 ✺

04.09.2025 Spain - Greece 86:90 ✺

02.09.2025 Greece - Bosnia and Herzegovina 77:80 ✺

31.08.2025 Georgia - Greece 53:94 ✺

30.08.2025 Cyprus - Greece 69:96 ✺

Draw

Final tournament

1/8-finals

1	Lithuania (B2)	Latvia (A3)	88 : 79
2	Greece (C1)	Israel (D4)	84 : 79
3	Turkey (A1)	Sweden (B4)	85 : 79
4	Poland (D2)	Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)	80 : 72
5	Germany (B1)	Portugal (A4)	85 : 58
6	Italy (C2)	Slovenia (D3)	77 : 84
7	Serbia (A2)	Finland (B3)	86 : 92
8	France (D1)	Georgia (C4)	70 : 80

Quarter-finals

1	Lithuania (B2)	Greece (C1)	76 : 87
2	Turkey (A1)	Poland (D2)	91 : 77
3	Germany (B1)	Slovenia (D3)	99 : 91
4	Finland (B3)	Georgia (C4)	93 : 79

Semi-finals

1	Greece (C1)	Turkey (A1)	68 : 94
2	Germany (B1)	Finland (B3)	98 : 86

Final

1

Turkey (A1)

Germany (B1)

83 : 88

3rd place

2

Greece (C1)

Finland (B3)

92 : 89