Lithuania vs Greece, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket
Result
76:87
09/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EuroBasket - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport, CT sport Plus
denmarkDenmarkDAZN
finlandFinlandRuutu+
franceFrancebeIN Sports 1
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
italyItalyDAZN Italia
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
polandPolandTVP Sport
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
swedenSwedenDAZN, SVT Play
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldCourt Side 1891

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5659
Field Goals Made
2628
Field Goals %
46.43%47.46%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3430
2-Point Field Goals Made
1819
2-Point Field Goals %
52.94%63.33%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2229
3-Point Field Goals Made
89
3-Point Field Goals %
36.36%31.03%
Free Throws Attempted
2128
Free Throws Made
1622
Free Throws %
76.2%78.6%
Offensive Rebounds
63
Defensive Rebounds
2828
Total Rebounds
3431
Assists
2215
Blocks
15
Turnovers
1312
Steals
59
Personal Fouls
2523

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lithuania
31.4%		Greece
68.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 71.4%

Lithuania - Greece Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 3.05 ↓
(3.3)
1.4 ↑
(1.37)		 4.4%
(3.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 163.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
What is the prediction for Lithuania - Greece?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Lithuania will win (votes: 30 - 75%). Greece will win (votes: 10 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lithuania: 61.6% – 88.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 152.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 151.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 150.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 149.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 159.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 158.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 157.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 156.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 155.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 154.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 153.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +7.5, OT - Lithuania (1.74) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • AH +7, OT - Lithuania (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +9, OT - Lithuania (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 160.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +10, OT - Lithuania (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +5.5, OT - Lithuania (2.09) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH +12.5, OT - Lithuania (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +10.5, OT - Lithuania (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +9.5, OT - Lithuania (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Lithuania (3.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +11.5, OT - Lithuania (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +11.5 - Lithuania (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +10.5 - Lithuania (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 162.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Lithuania (4.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +4, OT - Lithuania (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lithuania will win (27 of 30 users predict this - 90%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 48 high ROI users predict this event. Lithuania (votes: 43 - 89.6%). Greece (votes: 5 - 10.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 79:86.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 2.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Lithuania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Greece is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 366:358. (average 61:59.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lithuania - Greece were as follows:
    01.09.2023 Lithuania - Greece 92:67
    Latest results of Lithuania
    06.09.2025 Lithuania - Latvia 88:79 ✺
    03.09.2025 Lithuania - Sweden 74:71 ✺
    01.09.2025 Finland - Lithuania 78:81 ✺
    30.08.2025 Lithuania - Germany 88:107 ✺
    29.08.2025 Lithuania - Montenegro 94:67 ✺
    Latest results of Greece
    07.09.2025 Greece - Israel 84:79 ✺
    04.09.2025 Spain - Greece 86:90 ✺
    02.09.2025 Greece - Bosnia and Herzegovina 77:80 ✺
    31.08.2025 Georgia - Greece 53:94 ✺
    30.08.2025 Cyprus - Greece 69:96 ✺
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Latvia (A3)88 : 79
    2Greece (C1)Israel (D4)84 : 79
    3Turkey (A1)Sweden (B4)85 : 79
    4Poland (D2)Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)80 : 72
    5Germany (B1)Portugal (A4)85 : 58
    6Italy (C2)Slovenia (D3)77 : 84
    7Serbia (A2)Finland (B3)86 : 92
    8France (D1)Georgia (C4)70 : 80

    Quarter-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Greece (C1)76 : 87
    2Turkey (A1)Poland (D2)91 : 77
    3Germany (B1)Slovenia (D3)99 : 91
    4Finland (B3)Georgia (C4)93 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1Greece (C1)Turkey (A1)68 : 94
    2Germany (B1)Finland (B3)98 : 86

    Final
    1Turkey (A1)Germany (B1)83 : 88

    3rd place
    2Greece (C1)Finland (B3)92 : 89
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