Lithuania vs Latvia, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket Lithuania - Latvia
Result
88:79
06/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EuroBasket - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport, CT sport Plus
finlandFinlandRuutu+
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceERT 1
italyItalyDAZN Italia
polandPolandTVP Sport
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 1
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
worldWorldCourt Side 1891

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5469
Field Goals Made
2628
Field Goals %
48.1%40.6%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3634
2-Point Field Goals Made
2017
2-Point Field Goals %
55.6%50%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
1835
3-Point Field Goals Made
611
3-Point Field Goals %
33.3%31.4%
Free Throws Attempted
4420
Free Throws Made
3012
Free Throws %
68.2%60%
Offensive Rebounds
912
Defensive Rebounds
2922
Total Rebounds
3834
Assists
1717
Blocks
16
Turnovers
149
Steals
56
Personal Fouls
2331

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lithuania
34.1%
Latvia
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 62.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Latvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lithuania than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latvia than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Lithuania - Latvia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.91)

    1.44
    (1.46)
    5.1%
    (2.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 163.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
  • What is the prediction for Lithuania - Latvia?
  • Users Predictions: Lithuania will win (44 of 54 users predict this - 81.48%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.12%91.84%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lithuania will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:85.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 3.
    • Lithuania is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Latvia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Latvia is the team to beat.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 882:829. (average 80.2:75.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lithuania - Latvia were as follows:
    14.08.2025 Latvia - Lithuania 105:109
    09.09.2023 Latvia - Lithuania 98:63
    22.08.2023 Lithuania - Latvia 93:69
    Latest results of Lithuania
    03.09.2025 Lithuania - Sweden 74:71
    01.09.2025 Finland - Lithuania 78:81
    30.08.2025 Lithuania - Germany 88:107
    29.08.2025 Lithuania - Montenegro 94:67
    27.08.2025 Great Britain - Lithuania 70:94
    Latest results of Latvia
    03.09.2025 Czech Republic - Latvia 75:109
    01.09.2025 Portugal - Latvia 62:78
    30.08.2025 Latvia - Serbia 80:84
    29.08.2025 Estonia - Latvia 70:72
    27.08.2025 Latvia - Turkey 73:93
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Latvia (A3)88 : 79
    2Greece (C1)Israel (D4)84 : 79
    3Turkey (A1)Sweden (B4)85 : 79
    4Poland (D2)Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)80 : 72
    5Germany (B1)Portugal (A4)85 : 58
    6Italy (C2)Slovenia (D3)77 : 84
    7Serbia (A2)Finland (B3)86 : 92
    8France (D1)Georgia (C4)70 : 80

    Quarter-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Greece (C1)76 : 87
    2Turkey (A1)Poland (D2)91 : 77
    3Germany (B1)Slovenia (D3)99 : 91
    4Finland (B3)Georgia (C4)93 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1Greece (C1)Turkey (A1)68 : 94
    2Germany (B1)Finland (B3)98 : 86

    Final
    1Turkey (A1)Germany (B1)83 : 88

    3rd place
    2Greece (C1)Finland (B3)92 : 89