Spain vs Lithuania, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket Spain - Lithuania
10/09/2022 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Highlights

Chances of winning


Spain
35.9%
Lithuania
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.2% 56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 57%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Spain's form might have worsened.
  • Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lithuania's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spain than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Spain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lithuania than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lithuania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Spain - Lithuania Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.2)

    1.5
    (1.67)
    4.1%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 157.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
  • Latest results of Spain
    07.09.2022 Turkey - Spain 69:72
    06.09.2022 Montenegro - Spain 65:82
    04.09.2022 Spain - Belgium 73:83
    03.09.2022 Georgia - Spain 64:90
    01.09.2022 Spain - Bulgaria 114:87
    Latest results of Lithuania
    06.09.2022 Hungary - Lithuania 64:87
    04.09.2022 Lithuania - Germany 107:109
    03.09.2022 Lithuania - France 73:77
    01.09.2022 Slovenia - Lithuania 92:85
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Latvia (A3)88 : 79
    2Greece (C1)Israel (D4)84 : 79
    3Turkey (A1)Sweden (B4)85 : 79
    4Poland (D2)Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)80 : 72
    5Germany (B1)Portugal (A4)85 : 58
    6Italy (C2)Slovenia (D3)77 : 84
    7Serbia (A2)Finland (B3)86 : 92
    8France (D1)Georgia (C4)70 : 80

    Quarter-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Greece (C1)76 : 87
    2Turkey (A1)Poland (D2)91 : 77
    3Germany (B1)Slovenia (D3)99 : 91
    4Finland (B3)Georgia (C4)93 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1Greece (C1)Turkey (A1)68 : 94
    2Germany (B1)Finland (B3)98 : 86

    Final
    1Turkey (A1)Germany (B1)83 : 88

    3rd place
    2Greece (C1)Finland (B3)92 : 89