Lithuania vs Sweden, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball EuroBasket Lithuania - Sweden
Result
74:71
03/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EuroBasket - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2
finlandFinlandRuutu+
franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 4
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
italyItalyDAZN Italia
lithuaniaLithuaniaTV3
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenSVT 1, SVT Play
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
worldWorldCourt Side 1891

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5863
Field Goals Made
2528
Field Goals %
43.1%44.4%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4037
2-Point Field Goals Made
2321
2-Point Field Goals %
57.5%56.8%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
1826
3-Point Field Goals Made
27
3-Point Field Goals %
11.1%26.9%
Free Throws Attempted
2715
Free Throws Made
228
Free Throws %
81.5%53.3%
Offensive Rebounds
116
Defensive Rebounds
3024
Total Rebounds
4130
Assists
1520
Blocks
62
Turnovers
1411
Steals
67
Personal Fouls
1420

Highlights

Chances of winning


Lithuania
76.7%
Sweden
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
88.7% 11.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lithuania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lithuania's form might have worsened.
  • Sweden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sweden's recent form is better than expected.
  • Lithuania - Sweden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.23
    (1.08)

    4.13
    (8.5)
    5.3%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
    What is the prediction for Lithuania - Sweden?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lithuania will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Sweden will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lithuania: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Lithuania (votes: 2 - 50%). Sweden (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:78.
  • Preview Facts
    • Lithuania is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Lithuania is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sweden has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Lithuania is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 192:133. (average 96:66.5).
    Latest results of Lithuania
    01.09.2025 Finland - Lithuania 78:81
    30.08.2025 Lithuania - Germany 88:107
    29.08.2025 Lithuania - Montenegro 94:67
    27.08.2025 Great Britain - Lithuania 70:94
    22.08.2025 Lithuania - Iceland 96:83
    Latest results of Sweden
    01.09.2025 Sweden - Montenegro 81:87
    30.08.2025 Great Britain - Sweden 59:78
    29.08.2025 Germany - Sweden 105:83
    27.08.2025 Sweden - Finland 90:93
    20.08.2025 Sweden - Estonia 87:88
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Latvia (A3)88 : 79
    2Greece (C1)Israel (D4)84 : 79
    3Turkey (A1)Sweden (B4)85 : 79
    4Poland (D2)Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)80 : 72
    5Germany (B1)Portugal (A4)85 : 58
    6Italy (C2)Slovenia (D3)77 : 84
    7Serbia (A2)Finland (B3)86 : 92
    8France (D1)Georgia (C4)70 : 80

    Quarter-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Greece (C1)76 : 87
    2Turkey (A1)Poland (D2)91 : 77
    3Germany (B1)Slovenia (D3)99 : 91
    4Finland (B3)Georgia (C4)93 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1Greece (C1)Turkey (A1)68 : 94
    2Germany (B1)Finland (B3)98 : 86

    Final
    1Turkey (A1)Germany (B1)83 : 88

    3rd place
    2Greece (C1)Finland (B3)92 : 89