Result
0:1
09/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Fernandez I. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 1, Machado R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Castillo E. 🟨,
- 58', Suhr L. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
- 61', Lewis K. ↓, Romero D. ↑,
- 61', Martinez F. ↓, Amaro K. ↑,
- 68', Barrios F. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
- 68', Fernandez I. ↓, Amado A. ↑,
- 69', Reyna G. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
- 76', Acosta L. ↓, de Mello G. ↑,
- 76', Garayalde N. ↓, Olivera E. ↑,
- 79', Olivera E. 🟨,
- 79', Martinez F. 🟨,
- 87', Gonzalez A. ↓, Bonfiglio F. ↑,
- 87', Ramirez G. 🟨,
- 88', Zabala D. ↓, Mir M. ↑,
- 90+4', Rivero M. 🟨,
- 90+4', Perez F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Boston River
28.5% | Draw
30.5% | Liverpool Montevideo
41% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boston River has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Liverpool Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston River than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.26 ↑
(3.02) |
3.04 ↑
(2.98) |
2.28 ↓
(2.48) |
7.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Liverpool Montevideo will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Boston River may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Liverpool might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boston River won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:33. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boston River won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Boston River won against Liverpool Montevideo?
Boston River has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liverpool Montevideo won against Boston River?
Liverpool Montevideo has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boston River - Liverpool Montevideo were as follows:
27.09.2025
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Boston River
2:1
29.03.2025
Boston River
-
Liverpool Montevideo
0:1
29.09.2024
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Boston River
1:1
23.06.2024
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Boston River
1:0
15.03.2024
Boston River
-
Liverpool Montevideo
1:1
Latest results of Boston River
Latest results of Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Danubio | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Wanderers | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Central Esp | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Albion | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Progreso | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Juventud | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
