Liverpool Montevideo vs Cerro Largo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
01/03/2026 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 4
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
belarusBelarusSport TV
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
uruguayUruguayAntel TV, Disney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
41
Corner kicks
56
Yellow cards
32
Red cards
10
Total shots
86
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
45
Corner kicks
56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', Pou J. 🟨,
  • 21', Barcelo F. , Machado R. ,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Rabunal M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hernandez A. , Viera G. ,
  • 46', Pou J. , Piegas A. ,
  • 46', Monserrat M. , Souza F. ,
  • 46', Assis S. , Marcel S. ,
  • 51', Correa L. , Garcia M. ,
  • 66', Zabala D. , Acosta L. ,
  • 66', Martinez F. , Degregorio R. M. ,
  • 66', Lewis K. , Romero D. ,
  • 70', 2 - 0, Machado R. ,
  • 82', Perdomo F. , de Mello G. ,
  • 88', Degregorio R. M. 🟨,
  • 88', Strasorier S. 🟨,
  • 88', Degregorio R. M. 🟨,
  • 88', Bertocchi N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool Montevideo
48.7%
Draw
28.2%
Cerro Largo
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 27.1% 21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 24.4% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Cerro Largo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Largo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.8)
    3.3
    (3.44)
    4.05
    (4.44)
    7.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Liverpool (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.
    • Liverpool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cerro Largo is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Liverpool may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Liverpool is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo were as follows:
    07.11.2025 Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo 2:0
    07.06.2025 Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo 2:1
    18.05.2025 Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro Largo 1:0
    13.11.2024 Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo 0:0
    06.07.2024 Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo 1:0
    Latest results of Cerro Largo
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maldonado43019:549
    2Central Esp43016:249
    3Penarol43017:439
    4Racing Montevideo421110:647
    5Montevideo City42118:537
    6Liverpool M42116:427
    7Nacional42114:317
    8Defensor Sp42114:317
    9Danubio42115:6-17
    10Wanderers42114:6-27
    11Albion41125:504
    12Cerro Largo41032:5-33
    13Boston River40222:5-32
    14CA Cerro40222:6-42
    15Juventud40133:6-31
    16Progreso40132:8-61

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )