Result
13/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
56.2% | Draw
26.2% | Liverpool Montevideo
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Peñarol de Montevideo's performance.Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.79) |
3.57 ↑
(3.22) |
5.27 ↑
(4.37) |
7.6%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2.
- Peñarol is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Liverpool has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Peñarol may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Peñarol is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:26. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Liverpool Montevideo?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liverpool Montevideo won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Liverpool Montevideo has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo were as follows:
16.11.2025
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:2
13.09.2025
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:2
10.09.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Liverpool Montevideo
2:1
19.06.2025
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
3:2
20.03.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Liverpool Montevideo
0:3
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Penarol | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Central Esp | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 5 | Albion | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Defensor Sp | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Nacional | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Montevideo City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Danubio | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:14 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 14 |
| 12 | Liverpool M | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Boston River | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Juventud | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Progreso | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
