Result
1:2 ET
16/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 5', Castillo E. 🟨,
- 36', Amaro K. 🟨,
- 44', Rabunal M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Herrera N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Castillo E. 🟨,
- 57', Castro M. ↓, Milano S. ↑,
- 61', Remedi E. 🟨,
- 65', Remedi E. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
- 73', Acosta L. ↓, Catarozzi F. ↑,
- 77', Mendez J. 🟨,
- 78', Milans P. 🟨,
- 85', Silvera M. ↓, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↑,
- 90+1', Amaro K. ↓, Perdomo F. ↑,
- 90+5', Suarez L. 🟨,
- Extra Time (1 - 2)
- 91', Milans P. ↓, Muhlethaler S. ↑,
- 92', 1 - 0, Hernandez A. ⚽,
- 96', Mendez J. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 102', Napoli G. ↓, Wasilewsky L. ↑,
- 102', Vallejo N. ↓, Bregante F. ↑,
- 102', Hernandez A. ↓, Machado R. ↑,
- 102', Sosa I. ↓, Baez J. ↑,
- 102', Herrera N. ↓, Gularte E. ↑,
- 103', 1 - 1, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ⚽,
- 114', Rea M. 🟨,
- 114', Catarozzi F. 🟨,
- 115', 1 - 2, Fernandez L. (Pen),
- 120', Fernandez L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Liverpool Montevideo
23.6% | Draw
27.2% | Peñarol de Montevideo
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool Montevideo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.94 ↑
(3.88) |
3.48 ↑
(3.46) |
1.9
(1.9) |
6.8%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo?
Users Predictions:
Peñarol de Montevideo will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Peñarol de Montevideo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.
- Liverpool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Peñarol is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Liverpool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Peñarol is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Liverpool Montevideo won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Liverpool Montevideo has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Liverpool Montevideo?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
13.09.2025
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:2
10.09.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Liverpool Montevideo
2:1
19.06.2025
Liverpool Montevideo
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
3:2
20.03.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Liverpool Montevideo
0:3
09.11.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Liverpool Montevideo
2:0
Latest results of Liverpool Montevideo
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maldonado | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Central Esp | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Penarol | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Nacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 | Danubio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Albion | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Boston River | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 14 | CA Cerro | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Juventud | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Progreso | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
