Liverpool Montevideo vs Peñarol de Montevideo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2 ET
16/11/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
713
Shots on target
39
Corner Kicks
410
Yellow Cards
75
Red Cards
10
Total shots
713
Shots on target
39
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Castillo E. 🟨,
  • 36', Amaro K. 🟨,
  • 44', Rabunal M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Herrera N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 53', Castillo E. 🟨,
  • 57', Castro M. , Milano S. ,
  • 61', Remedi E. 🟨,
  • 65', Remedi E. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 73', Acosta L. , Catarozzi F. ,
  • 77', Mendez J. 🟨,
  • 78', Milans P. 🟨,
  • 85', Silvera M. , Garcia Cardozo D. G. ,
  • 90+1', Amaro K. , Perdomo F. ,
  • 90+5', Suarez L. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 2)
  • 91', Milans P. , Muhlethaler S. ,
  • 92', 1 - 0, Hernandez A. ,
  • 96', Mendez J. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 102', Napoli G. , Wasilewsky L. ,
  • 102', Vallejo N. , Bregante F. ,
  • 102', Hernandez A. , Machado R. ,
  • 102', Sosa I. , Baez J. ,
  • 102', Herrera N. , Gularte E. ,
  • 103', 1 - 1, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ,
  • 114', Rea M. 🟨,
  • 114', Catarozzi F. 🟨,
  • 115', 1 - 2, Fernandez L. (Pen),
  • 120', Fernandez L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool Montevideo
23.6%
Draw
27.2%
Peñarol de Montevideo
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24% 26.9% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 27.1% 48.7%

Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.94
(3.88)
3.48
(3.46)
1.9
(1.9)
6.8%
(7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Peñarol de Montevideo will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.
    • Liverpool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Peñarol is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Liverpool may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Peñarol is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:2
    10.09.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 2:1
    19.06.2025 Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo 3:2
    20.03.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 0:3
    09.11.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Liverpool M.Penarol1 : 2
    2ByeNacional

    Final
    1PenarolNacional0 : 1, 2 : 2