Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
3:2
17/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Mariani M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, TV3 Puls, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2, V Sport Ultra
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3, Cosmote Sport 4K
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
japanJapanWowow Live
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Sport 5
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Ultra
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, SiriusXM FC, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.600.61
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
89% (532/597)84% (390/464)
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.600.61
xG on target (xGOT)
2.101.80
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
94
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
186
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
71
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
4325
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
97
Passes
89% (532/597)84% (390/464)
Long passes
54% (22/41)44% (24/54)
Passes in final third
80% (166/207)73% (97/132)
Crosses
29% (6/21)13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
3.120.76
Throw-ins
1910
Fouls
79
Tackles
46% (6/13)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4741
Clearances
2626
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.802.10
Goals prevented
-0.200.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Robertson A. ⚽, Salah M. (A),
  • 6', 2 - 0, Salah M. ⚽, Gravenberch R. (A),
  • 31', Le Normand R. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 2 - 1, Llorente M. ⚽, Raspadori G. (A),
  • 45+4', Lenglet C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', Raspadori G. ↓, Koke ↑,
  • 58', Frimpong J. ↓, Bradley C. ↑,
  • 58', Isak A. ↓, Ekitike H. ↑,
  • 58', Gakpo C. ↓, Mac Allister A. ↑,
  • 61', Griezmann A. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
  • 61', Gallagher C. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
  • 70', Bradley C. 🟨,
  • 74', Wirtz F. ↓, Ngumoha R. ↑,
  • 77', Gonzalez N. ↓, Pubill M. ↑,
  • 81', 2 - 2, Llorente M. ⚽,
  • 86', Robertson A. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, van Dijk V. ⚽, Szoboszlai D. (A),
  • 90+4', Simeone D. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
61.7%		Draw
21.8%		Atlético Madrid
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 23.4% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 22.8% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
    •

    Liverpool - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.57 ↓
    (1.66)    		 4.36 ↑
    (4.08)    		 5.68 ↑
    (4.93)    		 4.2%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Liverpool - Atlético Madrid?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Atlético (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Liverpool (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Liverpool (1.74) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (82 of 99 users predict this - 82.83%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.4% – 90.26%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Liverpool will win (36 of 45 users predict this - 80%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 49 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 38 - 77.6%). Atlético (votes: 4 - 8.2%). Tie (votes: 7 - 14.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Liverpool is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlético has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Liverpool may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Liverpool is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Chiesa F. (Inactive) Jones C. (Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Almada T. (Muscle Injury) Alvarez J. (Knee Injury) Baena A. (Muscle Injury) Cardoso J. (Ankle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Thigh Injury)
    • We predict that Liverpool will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
    Latest results of Liverpool
    14.09.2025 Burnley - Liverpool 0:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Liverpool - Arsenal 1:0 ✺
    25.08.2025 Newcastle United - Liverpool 2:3 ✺
    15.08.2025 Liverpool - Bournemouth 4:2 ✺
    10.08.2025 Crystal Palace - Liverpool 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    13.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Villarreal 2:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺
    23.08.2025 Atlético Madrid - Elche 1:1 ✺
    17.08.2025 Espanyol - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺
    09.08.2025 Newcastle United - Atlético Madrid 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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