Liverpool vs Brighton & Hove Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Result
3:0
14/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.821.22
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
53
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
55
Passes
85% (333/390)85% (383/450)
Yellow cards
04
Expected goals (xG)
1.821.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.340.48
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
26
Blocked shots
68
Shots inside the box
119
Shots outside the box
28
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2626
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free kicks
1915
Passes
85% (333/390)85% (383/450)
Long passes
50% (18/36)52% (28/54)
Passes in final third
83% (81/98)76% (110/144)
Crosses
8% (1/13)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.631.19
Throw ins
1814
Fouls
1519
Tackles
53% (8/15)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5451
Clearances
2619
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
0.482.34
Goals prevented
0.48-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Dunk L. 🟨,
  • 33', Gomez D. 🟨,
  • 41', Baleba C. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Jones C. ⚽, Kerkez M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Szoboszlai D. ⚽, Salah M. (A),
  • 62', Howell H. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
  • 62', Baleba C. ↓, Mitoma K. ↑,
  • 62', Gomez D. ↓, Rutter G. ↑,
  • 67', van Hecke J. P. 🟨,
  • 68', 3 - 0, Salah M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 71', Wirtz F. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
  • 72', van Hecke J. P. ↓, Boscagli O. ↑,
  • 77', Salah M. ↓, Ngumoha R. ↑,
  • 77', Chiesa F. ↓, Ekitike H. ↑,
  • 81', Hinshelwood J. ↓, Wieffer M. ↑,
  • 89', Jones C. ↓, Nyoni T. ↑,
  • 89', Gakpo C. ↓, Ramsay C. ↑,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
65%		Draw
19.8%		Brighton & Hove Albion
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 20.8% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 20.2% 18%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
    •

    Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.47 ↓
    (1.54)    		 4.79 ↑
    (4.48)    		 6.28 ↑
    (5.04)    		 5%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 23 - 82.1%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 2 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 67.9% – 96.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Liverpool (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Liverpool will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 4.
    • Liverpool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Brighton & Hove's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Liverpool is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:25. (average 2.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:10. (average 2.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:0
    19.05.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool 3:2
    02.11.2024 Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1
    30.10.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Liverpool 2:3
    31.03.2024 Liverpool - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1
    Latest results of Liverpool
    11.02.2026 Sunderland - Liverpool 0:1 ✺
    08.02.2026 Liverpool - Manchester City 1:2 ✺
    31.01.2026 Liverpool - Newcastle United 4:1 ✺
    28.01.2026 Liverpool - Qarabağ Agdam 6:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Bournemouth - Liverpool 3:2 ✺
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    11.02.2026 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:0 ✺
    08.02.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Crystal Palace 0:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton 1:1 ✺
    24.01.2026 Fulham - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 ✺
    19.01.2026 Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth 1:1 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1StokeBye
    4ByeCoventry
    5FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    10CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    12ByeSouthampton
    13CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    14BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    16ByeLeicester
    17TottenhamBye
    20ByeAston Villa
    21NewcastleBye
    24ByeBournemouth
    25Manchester CityBye
    27FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    28WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    29SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    30TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    31RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    32BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49BurnleyBye
    52ByeMillwall
    53Sheffield UtdBye
    55GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    56MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    57PortsmouthBye
    60ByeArsenal
    61PrestonBye
    63WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    64SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    65GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    66WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    67ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    68Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    69WolvesBye
    71SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    72South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    73LiverpoolBye
    75PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    76BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    77Manchester UtdBye
    80ByeBrighton
    81Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    82BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    83FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    84LutonForest Green4 : 3
    85Bristol CityBye
    88ByeWatford
    89ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    90OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    92ByeOxford Utd
    93EvertonBye
    96ByeSunderland
    97WrexhamBye
    100ByeNottingham
    101IpswichBye
    103BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    104ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    105HullBye
    108ByeBlackburn
    109CharltonBye
    112ByeChelsea
    113TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    114Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    116ByeBirmingham
    117DerbyBye
    120ByeLeeds
    121NorwichBye
    123AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    124EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    125SwanseaBye
    128ByeWest Brom

    1/64-finals
    1StokeBye
    2ByeCoventry
    3FulhamBye
    4ByeMiddlesbrough
    5ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    6ByeSouthampton
    7CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    8ByeLeicester
    9TottenhamBye
    10ByeAston Villa
    11NewcastleBye
    12ByeBournemouth
    13Manchester CityBye
    14ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    15SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    16SwindonBolton4 : 0
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25BurnleyBye
    26ByeMillwall
    27Sheffield UtdBye
    28AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    29PortsmouthBye
    30ByeArsenal
    31PrestonBye
    32WiganBarrow3 : 2
    33GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    34ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    35WolvesBye
    36SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    37LiverpoolBye
    38PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    39Manchester UtdBye
    40ByeBrighton
    41Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    42FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    43Bristol CityBye
    44ByeWatford
    45MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    46ByeOxford Utd
    47EvertonBye
    48ByeSunderland
    49WrexhamBye
    50ByeNottingham
    51IpswichBye
    52BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    53HullBye
    54ByeBlackburn
    55CharltonBye
    56ByeChelsea
    57Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    58ByeBirmingham
    59DerbyBye
    60ByeLeeds
    61NorwichBye
    62GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    63SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom

    1/32-finals
    1StokeCoventry1 : 0
    2FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    3DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    4CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    5TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    6NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    7Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    8SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    14Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    15PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    16PrestonWigan0 : 1
    17GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    18WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    19LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    20Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    21Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    22Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    23MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    24EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    25WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    26IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    27HullBlackburn1 : 0
    28CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    29Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    30DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    31NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    32SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1StokeFulham1 : 2
    2SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    3Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    4Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    8ArsenalWigan4 : 0
    9GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    10LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    11Port ValeBristol City
    12Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    13WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    14HullChelsea0 : 4
    15BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    16NorwichWest Brom3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1FulhamSouthampton
    2NewcastleManchester City
    3West HamBrentford
    4MansfieldArsenal
    5WolvesLiverpool
    6TBD #11Sunderland
    7WrexhamChelsea
    8LeedsNorwich
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