Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League |
Albania | SuperSport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
France | Canal+ Live 7 |
Germany | Sky Sport Premier League |
Greece | Nova Sports Premier League |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV |
Hungary | Match 4 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport 2 |
India | Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1 |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Ireland | Premier Sports 1 ROI |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 1, SuperSport 2 |
Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka |
Maldives | Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 2 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Nepal | Kantipur Max |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 5 |
Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2, V Sport Premier League 1 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Canal+ Extra 1 |
Portugal | DAZN 2, DAZN / App |
Romania | Voyo |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Singapore | Hub Premier 1, Hub Premier 2 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
South-africa | SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Taiwan | ELTA Sports 2 |
Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
United-kingdom | BBC Radio 5 Live, Palace TV |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV, SiriusXM FC |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Sport 24 Extra |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.80 | 0.19 |
Ball Possession |
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34% | 66% |
Total shots |
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5 | 3 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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1 | 0 |
Passes |
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69% (40/58) | 85% (95/112) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.80 | 0.19 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.46 | 0.12 |
Total shots |
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5 | 3 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 1 |
Shots off target |
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1 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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0 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
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2 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
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0 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
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1 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
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11 | 5 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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0 | 1 |
Passes |
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69% (40/58) | 85% (95/112) |
Long passes |
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30% (3/10) | 60% (6/10) |
Passes in final third |
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43% (6/14) | 61% (11/18) |
Crosses |
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0% (0/1) | 50% (1/2) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.32 | 0.04 |
Throw-ins |
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7 | 3 |
Fouls |
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1 | 0 |
Tackles |
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100% (2/2) | 100% (1/1) |
Duels won |
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2 | 6 |
Clearances |
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3 | 1 |
Interceptions |
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1 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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1 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.12 | 1.46 |
Goals prevented |
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0.12 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', 1 - 0, Sarr I. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Crystal Palace 25.7% | Draw 26.6% | Liverpool 47.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Crystal Palace - Liverpool Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.77 ↓ (4.08) |
3.79 ↓ (4.01) |
2.15 ↑ (1.83) |
-0.5% (4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace - Liverpool?
Users Predictions:
60 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 13 - 21.7%). Liverpool will win (votes: 41 - 68.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 56.5% – 80.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Liverpool (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Crystal Palace (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 2.
- Crystal Palace is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Liverpool is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Crystal Palace may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Liverpool has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Liverpool is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Crystal Palace: Benitez W.
(Finger Injury)
Doucoure C.
(Knee Injury)
Kporha C.
(Back Injury)
Riad C.
(Knee Injury)
Sarr I.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Chambers L.
(Back Injury)
Ekitike H.
(Red Card)
Leoni G.
(Knee Injury)
Scanlon C.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:42. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:21. (average 0.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Crystal Palace won against Liverpool?
Crystal Palace has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Liverpool won against Crystal Palace?
Liverpool has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Crystal Palace - Liverpool were as follows:
10.08.2025
Crystal Palace
-
Liverpool
3:2
25.05.2025
Liverpool
-
Crystal Palace
1:1
05.10.2024
Crystal Palace
-
Liverpool
0:1
14.04.2024
Liverpool
-
Crystal Palace
0:1
09.12.2023
Crystal Palace
-
Liverpool
1:2
Latest results of Crystal Palace
Latest results of Liverpool
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Arsenal | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 16 |
2 | Liverpool | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
3 | Tottenham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
4 | Bournemouth | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Manchester City | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15:6 | 9 | 13 |
6 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
7 | Chelsea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Everton | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
9 | Sunderland | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
10 | Manchester Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
12 | Brighton | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
13 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
14 | Fulham | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
15 | Leeds | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
17 | Nottingham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
18 | Burnley | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
19 | West Ham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
20 | Wolves | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | -9 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship