Result
16/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: EFL Cup - Final
- Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | Azam Sports 1, DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
Albania | SuperSport 2 |
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2 |
Denmark | See, Viaplay |
Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2 |
Greece | Action 24 |
Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay, Vodafone Sport |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Ireland | NOW |
Israel | Sport 1 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Malaysia | SKY NET Sports X, TVS |
Malta | TSN Malta 6 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte |
Norway | TV3+, Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Philippines | Setanta Sports |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 1 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium |
South-africa | SuperSport Premier League |
South-america | ESPN South |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Tajikistan | Futbol TV |
Thailand | Thairath TV, True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
United-kingdom | BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, ITV 1, ITV X, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Showcase, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra, STV, STV Player, UTV |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
World | Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.89 | 1.84 |
Ball Possession |
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66% | 34% |
Goal Attempts |
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8 | 17 |
Shots on Goal |
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3 | 6 |
Shots off Goal |
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3 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 9 |
Shots inside the Box |
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7 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
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0 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 14 |
Offsides |
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2 | 2 |
Fouls |
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14 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 2 |
Throw-ins |
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21 | 21 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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17 | 26 |
Passes |
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80% (359/450) | 63% (143/227) |
Passes in the final third |
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73% (101/138) | 54% (51/95) |
Crosses |
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16% (3/19) | 35% (6/17) |
Tackles |
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86% (12/14) | 65% (11/17) |
Clearances Total |
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27 | 37 |
Interceptions |
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3 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 0 - 1, Burn D. ⚽, Trippier K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 2, Isak A. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
- 57', Diogo Jota ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
- 57', Konate I. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
- 67', Mac Allister A. ↓, Gakpo C. ↑,
- 74', Gravenberch R. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
- 74', Diaz L. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
- 81', Isak A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
- 81', Barnes H. ↓, Willock J. ↑,
- 90', Pope N. 🟨,
- 90', Murphy J. ↓, Krafth E. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Chiesa F. ⚽, Elliott H. (A),
- 90+8', Chiesa F. 🟨,
- 90+9', Tonali S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Liverpool 53.2% | Draw 24.6% | Newcastle United 22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liverpool's form might have worsened.Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+12.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liverpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Liverpool - Newcastle United Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.8 ↑ (1.53) |
3.92 ↓ (4.53) |
4.41 ↓ (5.76) |
3.7% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Liverpool - Newcastle United?
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 29 - 82.9%). Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 70.4% – 95.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 4.
- Liverpool is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Newcastle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Liverpool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Liverpool is a favorite.
- There will not play in Liverpool: Alexander-Arnold T.
(Ankle Injury)
Bradley C.
(Thigh Injury)
Gomez J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Morton T.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S.
(Knee Injury)
Gordon A.
(Red Card)
Hall L.
(Foot Injury)
Lascelles J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Liverpool: Konate I.
(Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Liverpool to win the game is with odds 1.72.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 13 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 40:19 (average 2:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25:8 (average 2.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Liverpool won against Newcastle United?
Liverpool has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Liverpool?
Newcastle United has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Newcastle United were as follows:
26.02.2025
Liverpool
-
Newcastle United
2:0
04.12.2024
Newcastle United
-
Liverpool
3:3
01.01.2024
Liverpool
-
Newcastle United
4:2
27.08.2023
Newcastle United
-
Liverpool
1:2
18.02.2023
Newcastle United
-
Liverpool
0:2
Latest results of Liverpool
Latest results of Newcastle United
Draw
PreliminaryFinal1 | Accrington | Oldham | |
2 | Barnet | Newport | |