Liverpool vs Newcastle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup
Football English League Cup Liverpool - Newcastle United
16/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: EFL Cup - Final
  • Referee: Brooks J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 1, DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
greeceGreeceAction 24
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay, Vodafone Sport
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
malaysiaMalaysiaSKY NET Sports X, TVS
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
norwayNorwayTV3+, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesSetanta Sports
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
thailandThailandThairath TV, True Premier Football 1, True Premier Football 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Radio, beIN Sports MENA English 1, ITV 1, ITV X, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Showcase, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+, Sky Ultra, STV, STV Player, UTV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldDisney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.891.84
Ball Possession
66%34%
Goal Attempts
817
Shots on Goal
36
Shots off Goal
38
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
49
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
06
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
1014
Offsides
22
Fouls
1410
Yellow Cards
12
Throw-ins
2121
Touches in the Opposition Box
1726
Passes
80% (359/450)63% (143/227)
Passes in the final third
73% (101/138)54% (51/95)
Crosses
16% (3/19)35% (6/17)
Tackles
86% (12/14)65% (11/17)
Clearances Total
2737
Interceptions
37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45', 0 - 1, Burn D. ⚽, Trippier K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 0 - 2, Isak A. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
  • 57', Diogo Jota ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
  • 57', Konate I. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
  • 67', Mac Allister A. ↓, Gakpo C. ↑,
  • 74', Gravenberch R. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
  • 74', Diaz L. ↓, Elliott H. ↑,
  • 81', Isak A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
  • 81', Barnes H. ↓, Willock J. ↑,
  • 90', Pope N. 🟨,
  • 90', Murphy J. ↓, Krafth E. ↑,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Chiesa F. ⚽, Elliott H. (A),
  • 90+8', Chiesa F. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Tonali S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
53.2%		Draw
24.6%		Newcastle United
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 21.1% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 20.1% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liverpool's form might have worsened.
  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liverpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Liverpool - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.8 ↑
    (1.53)    		 3.92 ↓
    (4.53)    		 4.41 ↓
    (5.76)    		 3.7%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Liverpool - Newcastle United?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 29 - 82.9%). Newcastle will win (votes: 4 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 70.4% – 95.4%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 4.
    • Liverpool is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Newcastle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Liverpool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Liverpool is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Alexander-Arnold T. (Ankle Injury) Bradley C. (Thigh Injury) Gomez J. (Hamstring Injury) Morton T. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S. (Knee Injury) Gordon A. (Red Card) Hall L. (Foot Injury) Lascelles J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Liverpool: Konate I. (Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Liverpool to win the game is with odds 1.72.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 13 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 40:19 (average 2:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25:8 (average 2.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Newcastle United were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Liverpool - Newcastle United 2:0
    04.12.2024 Newcastle United - Liverpool 3:3
    01.01.2024 Liverpool - Newcastle United 4:2
    27.08.2023 Newcastle United - Liverpool 1:2
    18.02.2023 Newcastle United - Liverpool 0:2
    Latest results of Liverpool
    11.03.2025 Liverpool - Paris Saint-Germain 0:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 Liverpool - Southampton 3:1 ✺
    05.03.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Liverpool 0:1 ✺
    26.02.2025 Liverpool - Newcastle United 2:0 ✺
    23.02.2025 Manchester City - Liverpool 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    10.03.2025 West Ham United - Newcastle United 0:1 ✺
    02.03.2025 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:2 ✺
    26.02.2025 Liverpool - Newcastle United 2:0 ✺
    23.02.2025 Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest 4:3 ✺
    15.02.2025 Manchester City - Newcastle United 4:0 ✺
    Draw
    Preliminary

    Final
    1AccringtonOldham
    2BarnetNewport
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