Liverpool vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
1:0
04/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj TV
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 1 ROI
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Sport 5
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.580.45
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
77% (257/332)87% (460/531)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
2.580.45
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.22
Total shots
178
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
77% (257/332)87% (460/531)
Long passes
31% (14/45)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
68% (83/122)80% (137/172)
Crosses
42% (5/12)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.40
Throw-ins
2211
Fouls
1611
Tackles
64% (9/14)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4756
Clearances
929
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
0.222.05
Goals prevented
0.221.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
  • 45+1', Huijsen D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
  • 60', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Mac Allister A. ⚽, Szoboszlai D. (A),
  • 69', Camavinga E. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
  • 79', Mac Allister A. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
  • 79', Ekitike H. ↓, Gakpo C. ↑,
  • 81', Guler A. ↓, Alexander-Arnold T. ↑,
  • 88', Robertson A. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
  • 88', Wirtz F. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
  • 90', Valverde F. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
  • 90+5', Carreras A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Alonso X. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
40.6%		Draw
24.5%		Real Madrid
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 24.8% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 27% 31.1%

Liverpool - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.38 ↑
(2.3)		 3.97 ↑
(3.83)		 2.79 ↓
(2.81)		 3.1%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Liverpool - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 21 - 26.9%). Real will win (votes: 49 - 62.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 10.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 52.1% – 73.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 6 - 30%). Real (votes: 11 - 55%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 14 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Real (2.05) (votes: 8 - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DC - Real (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Liverpool (2.06) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Liverpool (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Liverpool (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Liverpool (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Liverpool (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Liverpool (3.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Liverpool (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Liverpool (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 43 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 20 - 46.5%). Real (votes: 20 - 46.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 14%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 1.
    • Liverpool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Real has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Alisson (Groin Injury) Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Isak A. (Groin Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Foot Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Mastantuono F. (Groin Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Liverpool: Jones C. (Knock)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Real Madrid were as follows:
    27.11.2024 Liverpool - Real Madrid 2:0
    15.03.2023 Real Madrid - Liverpool 1:0
    21.02.2023 Liverpool - Real Madrid 2:5
    Latest results of Liverpool
    01.11.2025 Liverpool - Aston Villa 2:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Liverpool - Crystal Palace 0:3 ✺
    25.10.2025 Brentford - Liverpool 3:2 ✺
    22.10.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Liverpool 1:5 ✺
    19.10.2025 Liverpool - Manchester United 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    01.11.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 4:0 ✺
    26.10.2025 Real Madrid - Barcelona 2:1 ✺
    22.10.2025 Real Madrid - Juventus 1:0 ✺
    19.10.2025 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 Real Madrid - Villarreal 3:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal ✔ 770020:21821
    2Bayern Munich ✔ 760120:71318
    3Real Madrid750219:81115
    4Liverpool750214:8615
    5Tottenham742115:7814
    6PSG741220:101013
    7Newcastle741216:61013
    8Chelsea741214:8613
    9Barcelona741218:13513
    10Sporting CP741214:9513
    11Manchester City741213:9413
    12Atl. Madrid741216:13313
    13Atalanta741210:9113
    14Inter740313:7612
    15Juventus733114:10412
    16Dortmund732219:15411
    17Galatasaray73139:9010
    18Qarabag731313:15-210
    19Marseille730411:1109
    20Bayer Leverkusen723210:14-49
    21Monaco72328:14-69
    22PSV722315:1418
    23Ath Bilbao72237:11-48
    24Olympiacos Piraeus72238:13-58
    25Napoli72237:12-58
    26FC Copenhagen722311:17-68
    27Club Brugge KV721412:17-57
    28Bodo/Glimt713312:14-26
    29Benfica72056:10-46
    30Pafos71334:10-66
    31Royale Union SG72057:17-106
    32Ajax72057:19-126
    33Eintracht Frankfurt711510:19-94
    34Slavia Prague70344:15-113
    35Villarreal70165:15-101
    36Kairat Almaty70165:19-141

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