Liverpool vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj TV
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 1 ROI
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Sport 5
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.580.45
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
77% (257/332)87% (460/531)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
2.580.45
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.22
Total shots
178
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
77% (257/332)87% (460/531)
Long passes
31% (14/45)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
68% (83/122)80% (137/172)
Crosses
42% (5/12)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.40
Throw-ins
2211
Fouls
1611
Tackles
64% (9/14)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4756
Clearances
929
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
0.222.05
Goals prevented
0.221.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
  • 45+1', Huijsen D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
  • 60', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Mac Allister A. , Szoboszlai D. (A),
  • 69', Camavinga E. , Rodrygo ,
  • 79', Mac Allister A. , Jones C. ,
  • 79', Ekitike H. , Gakpo C. ,
  • 81', Guler A. , Alexander-Arnold T. ,
  • 88', Robertson A. , Kerkez M. ,
  • 88', Wirtz F. , Chiesa F. ,
  • 90', Valverde F. , Diaz B. ,
  • 90+5', Carreras A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Alonso X. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
40.6%
Draw
24.5%
Real Madrid
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 24.8% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 27% 31.1%

Liverpool - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.38
(2.3)
3.97
(3.83)
2.79
(2.81)
3.1%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Liverpool - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 21 - 26.9%). Real will win (votes: 49 - 62.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 10.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 52.1%73.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 36 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 9 - 25%). Real (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 14 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Real (2.05) (votes: 8 - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • DC - Real (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Liverpool (2.06) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Liverpool (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Liverpool (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Liverpool (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Liverpool (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Liverpool (3.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Liverpool (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Liverpool (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 59 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 23 - 39%). Real (votes: 32 - 54.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 6.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 1.
    • Liverpool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Real has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Alisson (Groin Injury) Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Isak A. (Groin Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Foot Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Mastantuono F. (Groin Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Liverpool: Jones C. (Knock)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Real Madrid were as follows:
    27.11.2024 Liverpool - Real Madrid 2:0
    15.03.2023 Real Madrid - Liverpool 1:0
    21.02.2023 Liverpool - Real Madrid 2:5
    Latest results of Liverpool
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    01.11.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 4:0
    26.10.2025 Real Madrid - Barcelona 2:1
    22.10.2025 Real Madrid - Juventus 1:0
    19.10.2025 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1
    04.10.2025 Real Madrid - Villarreal 3:1
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal880023:41924
    2Bayern Munich870122:81421
    3Liverpool860220:81218
    4Tottenham852117:71017
    5Barcelona851222:14816
    6Chelsea851217:10716
    7Sporting CP851217:11616
    8Manchester City851215:9616
    9Real Madrid850321:12915
    10Inter850315:7815
    11PSG842221:111014
    12Newcastle842217:71014
    13Juventus834114:10413
    14Atl. Madrid841317:15213
    15Atalanta841310:10013
    16Bayer Leverkusen833213:14-112
    17Dortmund832319:17211
    18Olympiacos Piraeus832310:14-411
    19Club Brugge KV831415:17-210
    20Galatasaray83149:11-210
    21Monaco82428:14-610
    22Qarabag831413:21-810
    23Bodo/Glimt823314:15-19
    24Benfica830510:12-29
    25Marseille830511:14-39
    26Pafos82338:11-39
    27Royale Union SG83058:17-99
    28PSV822416:1608
    29Ath Bilbao82249:14-58
    30Napoli82249:15-68
    31FC Copenhagen822412:21-98
    32Ajax82068:21-136
    33Eintracht Frankfurt811610:21-114
    34Slavia Prague80355:19-143
    35Villarreal80175:18-131
    36Kairat Almaty80177:22-151

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