Liverpool vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj TV
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 1 ROI
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanWowow Prime
kazakhstanKazakhstanKazakhstan TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Sport 5
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.580.45
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
77% (257/332)87% (460/531)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
2.580.45
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.22
Total shots
178
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2726
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1116
Passes
77% (257/332)87% (460/531)
Long passes
31% (14/45)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
68% (83/122)80% (137/172)
Crosses
42% (5/12)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.140.40
Throw-ins
2211
Fouls
1611
Tackles
64% (9/14)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4756
Clearances
929
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
0.222.05
Goals prevented
0.221.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
  • 45+1', Huijsen D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
  • 60', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 61', 1 - 0, Mac Allister A. , Szoboszlai D. (A),
  • 69', Camavinga E. , Rodrygo ,
  • 79', Mac Allister A. , Jones C. ,
  • 79', Ekitike H. , Gakpo C. ,
  • 81', Guler A. , Alexander-Arnold T. ,
  • 88', Robertson A. , Kerkez M. ,
  • 88', Wirtz F. , Chiesa F. ,
  • 90', Valverde F. , Diaz B. ,
  • 90+5', Carreras A. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Alonso X. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Liverpool
40.6%
Draw
24.5%
Real Madrid
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 24.8% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 27% 31.1%

Liverpool - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.38
(2.3)
3.97
(3.83)
2.79
(2.81)
3.1%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Liverpool - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 21 - 26.9%). Real will win (votes: 49 - 62.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 10.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 52.1%73.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 6 - 30%). Real (votes: 11 - 55%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 14 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • AH 0 - Real (2.05) (votes: 8 - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Liverpool (2.06) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 1.
    • Liverpool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Real is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Real has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Liverpool: Alisson (Groin Injury) Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Isak A. (Groin Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Foot Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Mastantuono F. (Groin Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Liverpool: Jones C. (Knock)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.7:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Real Madrid were as follows:
    27.11.2024 Liverpool - Real Madrid 2:0
    15.03.2023 Real Madrid - Liverpool 1:0
    21.02.2023 Liverpool - Real Madrid 2:5
    Latest results of Liverpool
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    01.11.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 4:0
    26.10.2025 Real Madrid - Barcelona 2:1
    22.10.2025 Real Madrid - Juventus 1:0
    19.10.2025 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1
    04.10.2025 Real Madrid - Villarreal 3:1
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal550014:11315
    2Bayern Munich650118:71115
    3Atalanta64118:6213
    4PSG540119:81112
    5Inter640212:4812
    6Real Madrid540112:5712
    7Atl. Madrid640215:12312
    8Liverpool640211:8312
    9Tottenham632113:7611
    10Dortmund531117:11610
    11Chelsea631213:8510
    12Manchester City531110:5510
    13Sporting CP631212:8410
    14Barcelona631214:11310
    15Newcastle530211:479
    16Marseille630311:839
    17Galatasaray63038:809
    18Monaco62317:8-19
    19PSV622215:1148
    20Bayer Leverkusen52218:10-28
    21Qarabag52128:9-17
    22Napoli52126:9-37
    23Juventus513110:1006
    24Pafos51314:7-36
    25Royale Union SG62047:15-86
    26Olympiacos Piraeus61236:13-75
    27Club Brugge KV51138:13-54
    28Ath Bilbao51134:9-54
    29FC Copenhagen51137:14-74
    30Eintracht Frankfurt61148:16-84
    31Benfica51044:8-43
    32Slavia Prague60332:11-93
    33Bodo/Glimt50237:11-42
    34Villarreal50142:10-81
    35Kairat Almaty60154:15-111
    36Ajax50051:16-150

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