Liverpool vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Anfield (Liverpool).

Champions League - League phase - Round 4
Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)
Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj TV
Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 4, Pickx+ Sports 4, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
France	Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	Premier Sports 1 ROI
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	Wowow Prime
Kazakhstan	Kazakhstan TV
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1, CANAL+ Sport 5
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Canal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.58	0.45
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
9	2
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
4	2
Passes
77% (257/332)	87% (460/531)
Yellow Cards
1	5
Expected Goals (xG)
2.58	0.45
xG on target (xGOT)
2.05	0.22
Total shots
17	8
Shots on target
9	2
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
9	3
Shots outside the Box
8	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
4	2
Touches in opposition box
27	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
11	16
Passes
77% (257/332)	87% (460/531)
Long passes
31% (14/45)	41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
68% (83/122)	80% (137/172)
Crosses
42% (5/12)	0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.14	0.40
Throw-ins
22	11
Fouls
16	11
Tackles
64% (9/14)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
47	56
Clearances
9	29
Interceptions
12	6
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	8
xGOT faced
0.22	2.05
Goals prevented
0.22	1.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
45+1', Huijsen D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
60', Bellingham J. 🟨,
61', 1 - 0, Mac Allister A. ⚽, Szoboszlai D. (A),
69', Camavinga E. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
79', Mac Allister A. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
79', Ekitike H. ↓, Gakpo C. ↑,
81', Guler A. ↓, Alexander-Arnold T. ↑,
88', Robertson A. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
88', Wirtz F. ↓, Chiesa F. ↑,
90', Valverde F. ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
90+5', Carreras A. 🟨,
90+6', Alonso X. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Liverpool
40.6%

Draw
24.5%

Real Madrid
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

24.8%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Liverpool - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.3)	3.97 ↑ (3.83)	2.79 ↓ (2.81)	3.1% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Liverpool - Real Madrid?

Users Predictions: 78 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 21 - 26.9%). Real will win (votes: 49 - 62.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 52.1% – 73.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 36 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 9 - 25%). Real (votes: 23 - 63.9%). Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 14 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Real (2.05) (votes: 8 - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Real (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Liverpool (2.06) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Liverpool (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Liverpool (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Liverpool (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Liverpool (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Liverpool (3.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Liverpool (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Liverpool (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 59 high ROI users predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 23 - 39%). Real (votes: 32 - 54.2%). Tie (votes: 4 - 6.8%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 1.
Liverpool has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Real is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Real has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Liverpool: Alisson (Groin Injury) Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury) Isak A. (Groin Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams R. (Inactive)
There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Foot Injury) Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Mastantuono F. (Groin Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Liverpool: Jones C. (Knock)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Liverpool won against Real Madrid?

Liverpool has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Liverpool?

Real Madrid has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Liverpool - Real Madrid were as follows:

27.11.2024 Liverpool - Real Madrid 2:0

15.03.2023 Real Madrid - Liverpool 1:0

21.02.2023 Liverpool - Real Madrid 2:5

Latest results of Liverpool

01.11.2025 Liverpool - Aston Villa 2:0 ✺

29.10.2025 Liverpool - Crystal Palace 0:3 ✺

25.10.2025 Brentford - Liverpool 3:2 ✺

22.10.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Liverpool 1:5 ✺

19.10.2025 Liverpool - Manchester United 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

01.11.2025 Real Madrid - Valencia 4:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Real Madrid - Barcelona 2:1 ✺

22.10.2025 Real Madrid - Juventus 1:0 ✺

19.10.2025 Getafe - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Real Madrid - Villarreal 3:1 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/16-finals

1	Monaco (21)	PSG (11)	2 : 2, 2 : 3
2	Chelsea (6)	Bye
3	Galatasaray (20)	Juventus (13)	2 : 3, 5 : 2
4	Liverpool (3)	Bye
5	Benfica (24)	Real Madrid (9)	1 : 2, 0 : 1
6	Manchester City (8)	Bye
7	Dortmund (17)	Atalanta (15)	1 : 4, 2 : 0
8	Bayern Munich (2)	Bye
9	Qarabag (22)	Newcastle (12)	2 : 3, 1 : 6
10	Barcelona (5)	Bye
11	Club Brugge KV (19)	Atl. Madrid (14)	1 : 4, 3 : 3
12	Tottenham (4)	Bye
13	Bodo/Glimt (23)	Inter (10)	2 : 1, 3 : 1
14	Sporting CP (7)	Bye
15	Olympiacos Piraeus (18)	Bayer Leverkusen (16)	0 : 0, 0 : 2
16	Arsenal (1)	Bye

1/8-finals

1	PSG (11)	Chelsea (6)
2	Galatasaray (20)	Liverpool (3)
3	Real Madrid (9)	Manchester City (8)
4	Atalanta (15)	Bayern Munich (2)
5	Newcastle (12)	Barcelona (5)
6	Atl. Madrid (14)	Tottenham (4)
7	Bodo/Glimt (23)	Sporting CP (7)
8	Bayer Leverkusen (16)	Arsenal (1)

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2