Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 4
- Referee: Nicolson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Hearts TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (224/306) | 78% (352/450) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (224/306) | 78% (352/450) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (21/65) | 41% (26/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 38% (24/64) | 62% (97/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 21% (6/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (14/17) | 38% (5/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 58 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Halkett C. 🟨,
- 23', Yengi T. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Smith L. ⚽, Finlayson D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Halkett C. ↓, Kyziridis A. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Braga C. ⚽, Kyziridis A. (A),
- 59', Bokila J. ↓, Shinnie A. ↑,
- 63', Finlayson D. 🟨,
- 66', Spittal B. ↓, Ageu ↑,
- 72', Pittman S. 🟨,
- 73', Smith L. ↓, Winter A. ↑,
- 73', Yengi T. ↓, McLennan C. ↑,
- 75', Muirhead R. 🟨,
- 78', McGowan R. 🟨,
- 81', Baningime B. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
- 81', Muirhead R. ↓, May S. ↑,
- 83', Milne H. 🟨,
- 86', McLennan C. 🟨,
- 88', Braga C. ↓, Kabangu E. ↑,
- 90+1', May S. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Kyziridis A. ⚽, Shankland L. (A),
Chances of winning
Livingston
26.7% | Draw
28.3% | Hearts
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Livingston - Hearts Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.51 ↑
(3.46) |
3.32 ↓
(3.51) |
2.1 ↑
(2.06) |
6.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Livingston - Hearts?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hearts (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Hearts will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 0.
- Recent performances by Livingston have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hearts is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hearts might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Livingston: Carey G.
(Injury)
Denholm A.
(Injury)
Kerr C.
(Injury)
Montgomery A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Hearts: Borchgrevink C.
(Thigh Injury)
Fulton R.
(Groin Injury)
Gordon C.
(Shoulder Injury)
McCart J.
(Leg Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Vargas K.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Livingston: Montano C.
(Health problems)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against Hearts?
Livingston has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Livingston?
Hearts has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Livingston - Hearts were as follows:
13.04.2024
Hearts
-
Livingston
4:2
02.01.2024
Livingston
-
Hearts
1:2
01.11.2023
Hearts
-
Livingston
1:0
29.01.2023
Livingston
-
Hearts
0:0
12.11.2022
Hearts
-
Livingston
1:1
Latest results of Livingston
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:6 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Celtic | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:13 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | St. Mirren | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Falkirk | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Livingston | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
