Result
1:0
03/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Hearts TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (415/511) | 69% (205/297) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (415/511) | 69% (205/297) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (43/77) | 41% (27/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (131/183) | 53% (55/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 50% (14/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 79 | 73 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Halkett C. ⚽, Altena J. (A),
- 32', Pittman S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', Montano C. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
- 53', Lawal S. 🟨,
- 72', May S. ↓, Zimmerman J. ↑,
- 72', Pittman S. ↓, Danso E. ↑,
- 75', Altena J. ↓, Steinwender M. ↑,
- 75', Braga C. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
- 83', Sylla M. ↓, Muirhead R. ↑,
- 85', Susoho M. 🟨,
- 86', Magnusson T. ↓, Kent F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hearts
75.4% | Draw
16.3% | Livingston
8.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Hearts - Livingston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.41) |
5.68 ↑
(4) |
11.29 ↑
(7.5) |
6.4%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hearts - Livingston?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Livingston will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 80.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hearts (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Hearts (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hearts (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 4.
- Hearts is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Livingston has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Hearts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Hearts is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Hearts: Ageu
(Hamstring Injury)
Kabore P.
(International duty)
Nieuwenhof C.
(Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Livingston: Blaney S.
(Calf Injury)
Denholm A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kerr C.
(Muscle Injury)
Montgomery A.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 1.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Livingston?
Hearts has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against Hearts?
Livingston has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hearts - Livingston were as follows:
30.08.2025
Livingston
-
Hearts
1:2
13.04.2024
Hearts
-
Livingston
4:2
02.01.2024
Livingston
-
Hearts
1:2
01.11.2023
Hearts
-
Livingston
1:0
29.01.2023
Livingston
-
Hearts
0:0
Latest results of Livingston
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 42:17 | 25 | 50 |
| 2 | Celtic | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Rangers | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 34:17 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 31:17 | 14 | 37 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 37:24 | 13 | 35 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 30 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 28:34 | -6 | 25 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 20:28 | -8 | 25 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19:34 | -15 | 22 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 19 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 20:39 | -19 | 14 |
| 12 | Livingston | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 22:42 | -20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
