Result
2:2
05/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 32
- Referee: Clancy K. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | 5 GOLD Israel |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine, Setanta Sports |
 United-kingdom | Hearts TV, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (212/288) | 88% (481/549) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.26 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (212/288) | 88% (481/549) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/51) | 65% (42/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (53/75) | 75% (130/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 38% (11/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 2.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, May S. ⚽,
- 22', Smith L. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 1, Shankland L. ⚽, Leonard M. (A),
- 34', Arfield S. 🟨,
- 45', McEntee O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 2, Braga C. ⚽, Shankland L. (A),
- 59', 2 - 2, Smith L. ⚽, Nouble J. (A),
- 65', Arfield S. ↓, Pittman S. ↑,
- 65', May S. ↓, Danso E. ↑,
- 76', Nouble J. ↓, Muirhead R. ↑,
- 76', Kerr C. ↓, McGowan R. ↑,
- 77', Chesnokov I. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
- 84', Kingsley S. ↓, Altena J. ↑,
- 85', Fati B. ↓, Lawal S. ↑,
- 89', Devlin C. ↓, Baningime B. ↑,
- 89', Kyziridis A. ↓, Spittal B. ↑,
- 90+7', Leonard M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Livingston
14.3% | Draw
22.1% | Hearts
63.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Hearts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Livingston - Hearts Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.58 ↑
(5.57) |
4.27 ↑
(4.04) |
1.48 ↓
(1.55) |
6.1%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Livingston - Hearts?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Hearts (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Hearts will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hearts (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Hearts is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Livingston: Denholm A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Kabongolo B.
(Red Card)
McLennan C.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Hearts: Ageu
(Thigh Injury)
Findlay S.
(Thigh Injury)
Gordon C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Kent F.
(Red Card)
Kingsley S.
(Groin Injury)
Magnusson T.
(Broken cheekbone)
Nieuwenhof C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Hearts: Milne H.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Livingston won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Livingston won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against Hearts?
Livingston has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Livingston?
Hearts has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Livingston - Hearts were as follows:
03.01.2026
Hearts
-
Livingston
1:0
30.08.2025
Livingston
-
Hearts
1:2
13.04.2024
Hearts
-
Livingston
4:2
02.01.2024
Livingston
-
Hearts
1:2
01.11.2023
Hearts
-
Livingston
1:0
Latest results of Livingston
Scottish Premier League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 58:28 | 30 | 70 |
| 2 | Rangers | 33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 66:31 | 35 | 69 |
| 3 | Celtic | 33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 59:35 | 24 | 67 |
| 4 | Motherwell | 33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 52:29 | 23 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:37 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 45:54 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 34:53 | -19 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 33 | 7 | 9 | 17 | 27:48 | -21 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 37:65 | -28 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston | 33 | 1 | 13 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
