Result
3:1
30/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 24
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Gori G. ⚽,
- 13', 2 - 0, D'Uffizi S. ⚽,
- 17', 2 - 1, Baldi L. ⚽,
- 34', 3 - 1, Gori G. ⚽,
- 41', Curado M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Hamlili Z. ↓, Odjer M. ↑,
- 46', Haveri K. ↓, Antoni E. ↑,
- 52', Galuppini F. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
- 58', Nicoletti M. 🟨,
- 62', Oviszach E. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
- 63', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
- 65', Biondi K. ↓, Malagrida L. ↑,
- 76', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Rizzo Pinna A. ↑,
- 81', Luperini G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ascoli
57.4% | Draw
26.6% | Livorno
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Ascoli - Livorno Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.55) |
3.47 ↓
(3.77) |
5.76 ↑
(5.68) |
8.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ascoli - Livorno?
Users Predictions:
Ascoli will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ascoli will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Ascoli is considered a favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ascoli won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ascoli won against Livorno?
Ascoli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Livorno won against Ascoli?
Livorno has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ascoli - Livorno were as follows:
20.09.2025
Livorno
-
Ascoli
0:3
Latest results of Livorno
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 57:22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 62:22 | 40 | 74 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 49:30 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:37 | 10 | 53 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 44:41 | 3 | 51 |
| 6 | Pineto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Ternana | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Gubbio | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | Livorno | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 37:51 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 28:32 | -4 | 38 |
| 13 | Carpi | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 | Perugia | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Forli | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Torres | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Bra | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:58 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
