Livorno vs Ascoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Livorno - Ascoli
Result
0:3
20/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
86
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
26
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
86
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Curado M. ,
  • 7', 0 - 2, Gori G. ,
  • 36', Hamlili Z. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 3, D'Uffizi S. ,
  • 42', Milanese T. 🟨,
  • 45', Mawete J. C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Hamlili Z. , Ghezzi S. ,
  • 46', Del Sole F. , Pagliai G. ,
  • 46', Mawete J. C. , Odjer M. ,
  • 46', Monaco S. , Baldi L. ,
  • 55', Gori G. , Chakir M. A. ,
  • 59', Marchesi F. , Biondi K. ,
  • 63', Cioffi A. 🟨,
  • 63', Alagna M. 🟨,
  • 72', Damiani S. , Bando A. ,
  • 72', D'Uffizi S. , Palazzino F. ,
  • 72', Milanese T. , Ndoj E. ,
  • 85', Di Carmine S. , Dionisi F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Livorno
14.9%
Draw
21.1%
Ascoli
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.2% 28.5% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1% 28.4% 39.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Livorno's form might have worsened.
  • Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ascoli's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+17.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Livorno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-24.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ascoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Livorno - Ascoli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.15
    (2.75)
    6.21
    (3.1)
    1.73
    (2.25)
    -15.2%
    (13.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 2.
    • Livorno is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Ascoli is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ascoli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Livorno won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).
    Latest results of Livorno
    14.09.2025 Vis Pesaro - Livorno 3:0
    30.08.2025 Juventus U23 - Livorno 2:1
    22.08.2025 Livorno - Ternana 1:0
    16.08.2025 Sassari Torres - Livorno 2:1
    Latest results of Ascoli
    14.09.2025 Perugia - Ascoli 0:2
    06.09.2025 Ascoli - Juventus U23 0:0
    31.08.2025 Ternana - Ascoli 0:2
    23.08.2025 Ascoli - Pianese 0:0
    17.08.2025 Pineto - Ascoli 2:3
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo980117:61124
    2Ravenna980119:10924
    3Ascoli972020:11923
    4Ternana942312:9314
    5Sambenedettese942312:9314
    6Carpi942312:11114
    7Forli94149:8113
    8Gubbio93427:7013
    9Guidonia94146:7-113
    10Campobasso833214:9512
    11Pianese93338:8012
    12Pineto932412:12011
    13Juventus U23832314:16-211
    14Vis Pesaro91628:809
    15Pontedera92257:19-128
    16Livorno92164:14-107
    17Torres91355:11-66
    18Bra91268:17-95
    19Perugia90366:14-83
    20Rimini93156:10-4-2

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation