Ternana vs Livorno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
24
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
136
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Biondi K. ,
  • 11', 1 - 1, Kerrigan L. ,
  • 27', Panaioli L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', 2 - 1, Dubickas E. ,
  • 59', Orellana M. , Proietti M. ,
  • 66', Peralta D. , Bonassi L. ,
  • 66', Biondi K. , Cioffi A. ,
  • 74', Proietti M. 🟨,
  • 80', Pettinari S. , Leonardi S. ,
  • 80', Kerrigan L. , Bianay Balcot C. ,
  • 80', Dubickas E. , Durmush M. ,
  • 80', Mawete J. C. , Gentile D. ,
  • 80', Panaioli L. , Panattoni M. ,
  • 86', Maestrelli A. , Loiacono G. ,
  • 86', Garetto M. 🟨,
  • 89', Bonassi L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Dionisi F. , Marinari J. ,

Chances of winning


Ternana
51.8%
Draw
28%
Livorno
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 27% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 26.4% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Ternana - Livorno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.7)
    3.24
    (3.4)
    4.5
    (4.87)
    10.2%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ternana - Livorno?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Livorno will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ternana: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ternana will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 0.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Livorno has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ternana is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.7:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ternana - Livorno were as follows:
    22.08.2025 Livorno - Ternana 1:0
    Latest results of Ternana
    21.12.2025 Pianese - Ternana 0:0
    14.12.2025 Ternana - Bra 2:0
    10.12.2025 Ternana - Brescia 4:1
    07.12.2025 Perugia - Ternana 1:2
    Latest results of Livorno
    20.12.2025 Livorno - Pontedera 2:2
    06.12.2025 Livorno - Arezzo 2:1
    29.11.2025 Gubbio - Livorno 0:0
    24.11.2025 Livorno - Sassari Torres 3:1
    16.11.2025 Livorno - Ravenna 1:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo26195246:163062
    2Ravenna27174640:251555
    3Ascoli27158446:192753
    4Ternana26128632:23939
    5Campobasso27118836:32439
    6Juventus U23271161033:31239
    7Pianese27911729:27238
    8Pineto2699833:33036
    9Livorno271041329:39-1034
    10Gubbio26712721:20133
    11Vis Pesaro26711825:26-132
    12Guidonia26711823:24-132
    13Carpi27881125:32-732
    14Forli26861231:38-730
    15Bra275101229:40-1125
    16Torres274131022:34-1225
    17Perugia26591226:33-724
    18Sambenedettese27591323:31-824
    19Pontedera26381522:48-2617
    20Rimini00000:000

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