Result
2:1
04/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Biondi K. ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Kerrigan L. ⚽,
- 27', Panaioli L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 2 - 1, Dubickas E. ⚽,
- 59', Orellana M. ↓, Proietti M. ↑,
- 66', Peralta D. ↓, Bonassi L. ↑,
- 66', Biondi K. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
- 74', Proietti M. 🟨,
- 80', Pettinari S. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
- 80', Kerrigan L. ↓, Bianay Balcot C. ↑,
- 80', Dubickas E. ↓, Durmush M. ↑,
- 80', Mawete J. C. ↓, Gentile D. ↑,
- 80', Panaioli L. ↓, Panattoni M. ↑,
- 86', Maestrelli A. ↓, Loiacono G. ↑,
- 86', Garetto M. 🟨,
- 89', Bonassi L. 🟨,
- 90+3', Dionisi F. ↓, Marinari J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ternana
51.8% | Draw
28% | Livorno
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Ternana - Livorno Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.7) |
3.24 ↓
(3.4) |
4.5 ↓
(4.87) |
10.2%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ternana - Livorno?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Livorno will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ternana: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ternana will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 0.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Livorno has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Ternana is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.7:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Ternana won against Livorno?
Ternana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Livorno won against Ternana?
Livorno has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ternana - Livorno were as follows:
22.08.2025
Livorno
-
Ternana
1:0
Latest results of Ternana
Latest results of Livorno
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 50:20 | 30 | 67 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 65 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 43:30 | 13 | 58 |
| 4 | Pineto | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 39:37 | 2 | 45 |
| 5 | Campobasso | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41:35 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Pianese | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 43 |
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 37:36 | 1 | 43 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 42 |
| 9 | Vis Pesaro | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 42 |
| 10 | Ternana | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 42 |
| 11 | Livorno | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 37 |
| 12 | Forli | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 35 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:28 | -3 | 35 |
| 14 | Carpi | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 31:37 | -6 | 31 |
| 16 | Torres | 31 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 30 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 24:33 | -9 | 28 |
| 18 | Bra | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 26 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 24:53 | -29 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
