Ternana vs Livorno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
24
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
136
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Biondi K. ,
  • 11', 1 - 1, Kerrigan L. ,
  • 27', Panaioli L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', 2 - 1, Dubickas E. ,
  • 59', Orellana M. , Proietti M. ,
  • 66', Peralta D. , Bonassi L. ,
  • 66', Biondi K. , Cioffi A. ,
  • 74', Proietti M. 🟨,
  • 80', Pettinari S. , Leonardi S. ,
  • 80', Kerrigan L. , Bianay Balcot C. ,
  • 80', Dubickas E. , Durmush M. ,
  • 80', Mawete J. C. , Gentile D. ,
  • 80', Panaioli L. , Panattoni M. ,
  • 86', Maestrelli A. , Loiacono G. ,
  • 86', Garetto M. 🟨,
  • 89', Bonassi L. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Dionisi F. , Marinari J. ,

Chances of winning


Ternana
51.8%
Draw
28%
Livorno
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 27% 18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3% 26.4% 18.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Ternana - Livorno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.7)
    3.24
    (3.4)
    4.5
    (4.87)
    10.2%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Ternana - Livorno?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Livorno will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ternana: 54%99.8%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ternana will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 0.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Livorno has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Ternana is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.7:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ternana - Livorno were as follows:
    22.08.2025 Livorno - Ternana 1:0
    Latest results of Ternana
    21.12.2025 Pianese - Ternana 0:0
    14.12.2025 Ternana - Bra 2:0
    10.12.2025 Ternana - Brescia 4:1
    07.12.2025 Perugia - Ternana 1:2
    Latest results of Livorno
    20.12.2025 Livorno - Pontedera 2:2
    06.12.2025 Livorno - Arezzo 2:1
    29.11.2025 Gubbio - Livorno 0:0
    24.11.2025 Livorno - Sassari Torres 3:1
    16.11.2025 Livorno - Ravenna 1:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo33218455:223371
    2Ascoli33218459:223771
    3Ravenna34207748:301867
    4Campobasso33159947:371052
    5Pineto3313101041:39249
    6Juventus U23331391143:41248
    7Pianese331015833:32145
    8Ternana3313101039:34544
    9Gubbio3310131028:31-343
    10Vis Pesaro3310131033:32143
    11Livorno341171637:49-1240
    12Guidonia338141128:31-338
    13Carpi339101432:42-1037
    14Perugia338121335:40-536
    15Forli33991539:48-936
    16Torres336161131:42-1134
    17Sambenedettese346131525:34-931
    18Bra336121534:50-1630
    19Pontedera333111926:57-3120
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
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          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation