LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój vs Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • III Liga - Group III - Round 11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Wroblewski N. ,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Mras T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój
52.2%
Draw
23.2%
Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 25.8% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 24.8% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój's performance.
  • Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.12)
    3.98
    (3.53)
    3.77
    (2.91)
    8.1%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Goczałkowice-Zdrój won 3.
    • Goczałkowice-Zdrój is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Warta Gorzów has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Warta Gorzów may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Goczałkowice-Zdrój is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Goczałkowice-Zdrój won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Goczałkowice-Zdrój won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój 0:1
    21.09.2024 LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski 2:0
    02.03.2024 LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój - Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski 3:2
    12.08.2023 Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój 3:2
    15.04.2023 Warta Gorzów Wielkopolski - LKS Goczałkowice-Zdrój 1:0
    Polish Division 3 - Group III Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zielona Gora18116147:103739
    2BKS Sparta Katowice19115331:191238
    3Polkowice17113331:191236
    4Zaglebie II18104448:321634
    5Goczalkowice Zdroj1887329:21831
    6Carina Gubin1977529:32-328
    7Skra1877435:29628
    8Kluczbork1883729:21827
    9Warta Gorzow1875628:29-126
    10Jelenia Gora1773729:28124
    11Gornik Zabrze II1973936:27924
    12Nysa1858530:32-223
    13Sleza Wroclaw1863925:35-1021
    14Woliborz1854927:34-719
    15Legnica II18441029:39-1016
    16Pawlowice19431219:36-1715
    17Starowice Dolne18341116:39-2313
    18Stal Jasien18211521:57-367

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