Newport Gwent Dragons vs Llanelli Scarlets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
28:5
01/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • United Rugby Championship - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Rugby
asiaAsiaPremier Sports Rugby Asia
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, FloSports app, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, S4C Clic, S4C Digital, URC

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 5)
  • 2nd Half (21 - 0)

Chances of winning


Newport Gwent Dragons
38.5%
Draw
4.3%
Llanelli Scarlets
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 4.4% 55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 4.5% 54.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport Gwent Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Llanelli Scarlets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport Gwent Dragons than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanelli Scarlets than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Newport Gwent Dragons - Llanelli Scarlets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.44
    (2.3)
    21.44
    (21)
    1.6
    (1.67)
    8%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Newport Gwent Dragons - Llanelli Scarlets?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +4.5 - Dragons (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dragons (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 24:27.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dragons won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Scarlets is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dragons won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 422:570. (average 21.1:28.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dragons won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 281:326. (average 23.4:27.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport Gwent Dragons - Llanelli Scarlets were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Newport Gwent Dragons - Llanelli Scarlets 23:31
    01.01.2025 Llanelli Scarlets - Newport Gwent Dragons 32:15
    01.06.2024 Llanelli Scarlets - Newport Gwent Dragons 32:15
    01.01.2024 Newport Gwent Dragons - Llanelli Scarlets 13:12
    22.04.2023 Newport Gwent Dragons - Llanelli Scarlets 31:14
    Latest results of Newport Gwent Dragons
    Latest results of Llanelli Scarlets
    United Rugby Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Glasgow Warriors12903320:17045
    2Leinster12804308:24241
    3Cardiff Rugby12804240:21040
    4Munster12804248:22539
    5Stormers11803284:18536
    6Ulster11704312:22936
    7Lions12615325:34233
    8Bulls11605304:27030
    9Ospreys12525260:27329
    10Connacht11407258:27925
    11Sharks12417256:33324
    12Edinburgh11407219:21323
    13Benetton12426216:28123
    14Dragons12237227:28620
    15Scarlets11317192:26316
    16Zebre122010197:36512

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