Llanelli vs Cardiff Metropolitan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru Premier Llanelli - Cardiff Metropolitan
Result
1:3
07/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru Premier - Round 12
  • Referee: Richards T. (Wal)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, S4C Clic, S4C

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
59
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
87
Corner Kicks
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', 1 - 0, Cann E. ,
  • 45+2', Bright H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 49', 1 - 1, Craven C. (Pen),
  • 56', 1 - 2, Evans E. ,
  • 69', Hopkins J. 🟨,
  • 71', Payne J. , Rees L. ,
  • 71', John H. , Lonergan R. ,
  • 75', Parsons S. S. , Williams D. ,
  • 75', Cann E. , Gibbings B. ,
  • 75', Wharton T. , Bonthron A. ,
  • 75', Lloyd J. , Norris J. ,
  • 77', 1 - 3, Rees L. ,
  • 84', Jenkins T. , Booth R. ,
  • 88', Lonergan R. 🟨,

Highlights

http://tinyurl.com/yhse6vxn

Official Live

Chances of winning


Llanelli
19.3%
Draw
24.2%
Cardiff Metropolitan
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 25.6% 53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4% 24.3% 50.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Cardiff Metropolitan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Metropolitan than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cardiff Metropolitan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Llanelli - Cardiff Metropolitan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.95
    (4.31)
    3.88
    (3.58)
    1.62
    (1.73)
    7.6%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Llanelli - Cardiff Metropolitan?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff Metropolitan will win (22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 87.31%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff Metropolitan will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Cardiff Metropolitan is the team to beat.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Llanelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.5:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Llanelli won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).
    Latest results of Llanelli
    Latest results of Cardiff Metropolitan
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1TNS1292133:82529
    2Penybont1282220:71326
    3Caernarfon1262428:19920
    4Connahs Q1153317:14318
    5Colwyn Bay1245314:9517
    6Bala1343610:19-915
    7Barry1235414:15-114
    8Cardiff Metropolitan1235419:23-414
    9Briton Ferry1134417:17013
    10Flint1132619:25-611
    11Haverfordwest1232713:22-911
    12Llanelli122197:33-267

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