Result
0:5
18/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 16', 0 - 1, Arias A. ⚽,
- 20', 0 - 2, Cueto G. ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 3, Toquero ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 4, Toquero ⚽,
- 85', 0 - 5, Cueto G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Llanera 41.9% | Draw 30.3% | Covadonga 27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llanera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Llanera - Covadonga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↑ (2.12) |
3 ↓ (3.15) |
3.26 ↑ (3.25) |
10.2% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llanera won 1.
- Llanera has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Covadonga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Llanera might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Llanera won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Llanera won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Llanera won against Covadonga?
Llanera has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Covadonga won against Llanera?
Covadonga has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Llanera - Covadonga were as follows:
07.09.2025
Covadonga
-
Llanera
1:1
15.01.2023
Covadonga
-
Llanera
2:1
11.09.2022
Llanera
-
Covadonga
3:2
Latest results of Llanera
Latest results of Covadonga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Llanera | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 62:17 | 45 | 82 |
| 2 | Covadonga | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 79:21 | 58 | 74 |
| 3 | Gijon B | 31 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 76:24 | 52 | 61 |
| 4 | Caudal Deportivo | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 54:36 | 18 | 60 |
| 5 | Mosconia | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 45:25 | 20 | 54 |
| 6 | L'Entregu | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 46 |
| 7 | EI San Martin | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Union Club Ceares | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 39 |
| 9 | CD Colunga | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Praviano | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 36 |
| 11 | Club Siero | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 35 |
| 12 | Llanes | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 42:46 | -4 | 34 |
| 13 | Aviles Stadium | 31 | 6 | 14 | 11 | 18:35 | -17 | 32 |
| 14 | Lenense | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 30:53 | -23 | 28 |
| 15 | SD Navarro CF | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 34:47 | -13 | 28 |
| 16 | Tuilla | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:52 | -22 | 27 |
| 17 | Gijon Industrial | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 28:54 | -26 | 25 |
| 18 | Real Titanico | 31 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 18:69 | -51 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )
Relegation