Result
2:1
03/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 17
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (290/352) | 84% (292/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 0.83 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.04 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 0 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 20 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 4 | 14 |
| Passes |
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| 82% (290/352) | 84% (292/349) |
| Long passes |
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| 56% (35/63) | 55% (24/44) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 65% (63/97) | 74% (69/93) |
| Crosses |
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| 17% (3/18) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.29 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
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| 14 | 4 |
| Tackles |
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| 67% (6/9) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
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| 26 | 41 |
| Clearances |
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| 14 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
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| 4 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 0.88 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -0.12 | -0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Sierra C. ⚽, Rangel M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Cardenas S. ↓, Penaranda A. ↑,
- 57', Zarate A. ↓, Duarte B. ↑,
- 59', Lopez A. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
- 69', Artunduaga A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 69', Ponce A. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
- 69', Andrade A. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 70', Sierra C. ↓, Valencia K. ↑,
- 70', Churi B. ↓, Espinal F. ↑,
- 71', Rangel M. ↓, Mosquera D. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 0, Uruena B. ⚽, Lasso J. (A),
- 76', Restrepo E. 🟨,
- 81', Restrepo E. ↓, Medina M. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Penaranda A. (Pen),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3xfxsu6v
Chances of winning
Llaneros SA
43.4% | Draw
31.4% | Atlético Bucaramanga
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llaneros SA's performance.Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Bucaramanga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llaneros SA that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Bucaramanga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Llaneros SA - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.8) |
2.97 ↓
(3.1) |
3.73 ↑
(2.45) |
6.7%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Llaneros SA - Atlético Bucaramanga?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Bucaramanga will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Llaneros SA: 41.6% – 98.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Llaneros SA (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 13).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Llaneros SA may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Llaneros SA is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Llaneros SA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
- Including home match between the teams, Llaneros SA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Llaneros SA won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Llaneros SA has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Llaneros SA?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Llaneros SA - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
Latest results of Llaneros SA
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
