Llantwit Major vs Abergavenny Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Llantwit Major - Abergavenny Town
Result
4:0
01/04/2024 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Emanuel I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 0, Williams C. ,
  • 71', 3 - 0, Williams C. ,
  • 82', Campbell A. 🟥,
  • 82', 4 - 0, Williams C. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Llantwit Major
79.5%
Draw
13.5%
Abergavenny Town
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.3% 17.3% 13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9% 16.2% 12.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Llantwit Major has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llantwit Major's performance.
  • Abergavenny Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Abergavenny Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llantwit Major that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abergavenny Town than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Abergavenny Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Llantwit Major - Abergavenny Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (1.31)
    6.75
    (5.25)
    12.8
    (6.75)
    10.2%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Abergavenny Town is Relegated to
    • Recent matches Llantwit Major is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Abergavenny Town has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Llantwit Major is certain favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Llantwit Major won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Llantwit Major won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Llantwit Major - Abergavenny Town were as follows:
    08.08.2023 Abergavenny Town - Llantwit Major 0:1
    21.03.2023 Abergavenny Town - Llantwit Major 0:2
    24.09.2022 Llantwit Major - Abergavenny Town 2:1
    Latest results of Llantwit Major
    Latest results of Abergavenny Town
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carmarthen Town11004:043
    2Cambrian United11004:043
    3Caerau Ely11004:133
    4Baglan Dragons11003:033
    5Aberystwyth11002:113
    6Trefelin11002:113
    7Ammanford11001:013
    8Newport City11001:013
    9Llantwit Major10011:2-10
    10Trethomas Bluebirds10011:2-10
    11Afan Lido10010:1-10
    12Cardiff Draconians10010:1-10
    13Ynyshir Albions10011:4-30
    14Pontypridd10010:3-30
    15Cwmbran Celtic10010:4-40
    16Treowen10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation