Result
3:0
22/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 23
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Javi Roman ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 0, Calvo Tardio J. A. ⚽,
- 38', 3 - 0, Millan R. G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Llerenense 51.6% | Draw 27.7% | Diocesano 20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Llerenense - Diocesano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↓ (1.88) |
3.28 ↑ (3.17) |
4.39 ↑ (3.97) |
10% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llerenense won 1.
- Llerenense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Diocesano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Llerenense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Llerenense is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Llerenense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Llerenense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Llerenense won against Diocesano?
Llerenense has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Diocesano won against Llerenense?
Diocesano has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Llerenense - Diocesano were as follows:
12.10.2025
Diocesano
-
Llerenense
2:1
06.04.2025
Diocesano
-
Llerenense
0:2
24.11.2024
Llerenense
-
Diocesano
0:1
Latest results of Llerenense
Latest results of Diocesano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 55:19 | 36 | 55 |
| 2 | Moralo | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 53 |
| 3 | CD Badajoz | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:24 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Azuaga | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 46:25 | 21 | 48 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 34:21 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:29 | 5 | 41 |
| 8 | Villafranca | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 39 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 27 | 7 | 15 | 5 | 47:38 | 9 | 36 |
| 10 | Llerenense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 35 |
| 11 | Montijo | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:33 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 | Puebla | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | Gevora | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 20:33 | -13 | 20 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19:49 | -30 | 17 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation