Llerenense vs Diocesano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
22/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Javi Roman ,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Calvo Tardio J. A. ,
  • 38', 3 - 0, Millan R. G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Llerenense
51.6%
Draw
27.7%
Diocesano
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 28.7% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 28.3% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Llerenense - Diocesano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.88)
    3.28
    (3.17)
    4.39
    (3.97)
    10%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llerenense won 1.
    • Llerenense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Diocesano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Llerenense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Llerenense is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Llerenense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Llerenense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Llerenense - Diocesano were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Diocesano - Llerenense 2:1
    06.04.2025 Diocesano - Llerenense 0:2
    24.11.2024 Llerenense - Diocesano 0:1
    Latest results of Llerenense
    15.02.2026 Villafranca - Llerenense 2:1
    08.02.2026 Llerenense - Don Benito 1:0
    01.02.2026 Santa Amalia - Llerenense 1:2
    25.01.2026 Llerenense - Azuaga 0:0
    18.01.2026 Gévora - Llerenense 1:2
    Latest results of Diocesano
    15.02.2026 Diocesano - Badajoz 0:2
    08.02.2026 Pueblonuevo - Diocesano Postponed
    01.02.2026 Diocesano - Montijo 1:0
    25.01.2026 Moralo - Diocesano 2:1
    18.01.2026 Diocesano - Jerez 1:5
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito24156350:153551
    2Moralo24128438:241444
    3Jaraiz24119439:231642
    4Cabeza del Buey241011330:171341
    5CD Badajoz24135632:201241
    6Azuaga24117634:241040
    7Villanovense2498726:24235
    8Llerenense241041025:25034
    9Jerez CF24615338:29933
    10Villafranca2496928:29-133
    11Montijo24941126:27-131
    12Puebla24611724:28-429
    13Santa Amalia24851123:32-929
    14Gevora24581122:36-1423
    15Diocesano23481122:37-1520
    16CD Calamonte243101118:29-1119
    17Montehermoso24361517:44-2715
    18Pueblonuevo23351517:46-2914

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