Llerenense vs Diocesano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
22/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Javi Roman ,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Calvo Tardio J. A. ,
  • 38', 3 - 0, Millan R. G. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Llerenense
51.6%
Draw
27.7%
Diocesano
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 28.7% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 28.3% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Diocesano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diocesano than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Llerenense - Diocesano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.88)
    3.28
    (3.17)
    4.39
    (3.97)
    10%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llerenense won 1.
    • Llerenense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Diocesano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Llerenense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Llerenense is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Llerenense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Llerenense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Llerenense - Diocesano were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Diocesano - Llerenense 2:1
    06.04.2025 Diocesano - Llerenense 0:2
    24.11.2024 Llerenense - Diocesano 0:1
    Latest results of Llerenense
    15.02.2026 Villafranca - Llerenense 2:1
    08.02.2026 Llerenense - Don Benito 1:0
    01.02.2026 Santa Amalia - Llerenense 1:2
    25.01.2026 Llerenense - Azuaga 0:0
    18.01.2026 Gévora - Llerenense 1:2
    Latest results of Diocesano
    15.02.2026 Diocesano - Badajoz 0:2
    08.02.2026 Pueblonuevo - Diocesano Postponed
    01.02.2026 Diocesano - Montijo 1:0
    25.01.2026 Moralo - Diocesano 2:1
    18.01.2026 Diocesano - Jerez 1:5
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito27167455:193655
    2Moralo27158446:262053
    3CD Badajoz27165641:241750
    4Azuaga27147640:261449
    5Jaraiz27139546:252148
    6Cabeza del Buey271112434:211345
    7Villanovense27118834:29541
    8Villafranca271161032:32039
    9Jerez CF27715547:38936
    10Llerenense271051227:32-535
    11Montijo27961230:33-333
    12Puebla27711928:36-832
    13Santa Amalia27951327:39-1232
    14Gevora27681326:41-1526
    15Diocesano26491323:45-2221
    16CD Calamonte273111320:33-1320
    17Montehermoso27471619:46-2719
    18Pueblonuevo26451719:49-3017

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation