Avispones de Chilpancingo vs Lobos ULMX – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 19

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 74', 🟥,
  • 77', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Avispones de Chilpancingo
36.1%
Draw
27.4%
Lobos ULMX
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 26% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4% 24.9% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Avispones de Chilpancingo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Lobos ULMX has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispones de Chilpancingo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos ULMX than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lobos ULMX could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Avispones de Chilpancingo - Lobos ULMX Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.51
    (2.62)
    3.31
    (3.4)
    2.49
    (2.2)
    10.2%
    (13%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 6).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chilpancingo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Avispones de Chilpancingo - Lobos ULMX were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Lobos ULMX - Avispones de Chilpancingo 2:1
    Latest results of Lobos ULMX
    07.02.2026 Lobos ULMX - Santiago 1:1
    24.01.2026 Lobos ULMX - Canamy 2:1
    17.01.2026 Ciervos - Lobos ULMX 1:0
    Draw
    Reserves - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Cimarrones de SonoraMineros de Fresnillo1 : 1
    2Leones Negros 2Celaya0 : 5

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2