Result
3:1
15/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Queensland Premier League - Round 14
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', 1 - 0, Collins J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 61', 2 - 0, Carre J. ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 1, Fukuda R. ⚽,
- 84', 3 - 1, Patton B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Logan Lightning
55.1% | Draw
20.9% | Capalaba
24% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Logan Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Logan Lightning's form might have worsened.Capalaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logan Lightning than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Logan Lightning that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Logan Lightning - Capalaba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.51) |
4.42 ↓
(4.5) |
3.84 ↓
(4.64) |
8.4%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Logan Lightning - Capalaba?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Logan Lightning (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Logan Lightning won 3.
- In recent matches, Logan Lightning has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Capalaba is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Capalaba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Logan Lightning is considered a favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Logan Lightning won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 2.6:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Logan Lightning won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2.3:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Logan Lightning won against Capalaba?
Logan Lightning has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Capalaba won against Logan Lightning?
Capalaba has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Logan Lightning - Capalaba were as follows:
09.05.2025
Capalaba
-
Logan Lightning
1:4
05.07.2024
Logan Lightning
-
Capalaba
1:1
11.06.2024
Capalaba
-
Logan Lightning
1:2
Latest results of Logan Lightning
Latest results of Capalaba
Australian Queensland Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Magic United ✔ | 22 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 66:29 | 37 | 43 |
| 2 | Rochedale ✔ | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 54:24 | 30 | 43 |
| 3 | Broadbeach Utd. ✔ | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 43 |
| 4 | Brisbane Strikers ✔ | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | Redlands | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 42:47 | -5 | 33 |
| 6 | Caboolture | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 47:40 | 7 | 30 |
| 7 | Logan Lightning | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 40:41 | -1 | 28 |
| 8 | Holland Park Hawks | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 47:46 | 1 | 27 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 24:26 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Capalaba | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 31:59 | -28 | 18 |
| 11 | SWQ Thunder | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 26:63 | -37 | 18 |
| 12 | Southside Eagles | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 21:74 | -53 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Magic United is Qualified for Queensland Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Rochedale is Qualified for Queensland Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Broadbeach Utd. is Qualified for Queensland Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Brisbane Strikers is Qualified for Queensland Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
