Logan Lightning vs Capalaba: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Australian Queensland Premier League Logan Lightning - Capalaba
Result
3:1
15/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Queensland Premier League - Round 14
Logan Lightning - Capalaba - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
117
Corner Kicks
37
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
117
Shots off target
93
Corner Kicks
37
Goalkeeper Saves
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Collins J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 61', 2 - 0, Carre J. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Fukuda R. ,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Patton B. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Logan Lightning
55.1%
Draw
20.9%
Capalaba
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 20.2% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 16.2% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Logan Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Logan Lightning's form might have worsened.
  • Capalaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logan Lightning than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Logan Lightning that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Logan Lightning - Capalaba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.51)
    4.42
    (4.5)
    3.84
    (4.64)
    8.4%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Logan Lightning - Capalaba?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Logan Lightning (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Logan Lightning won 3.
    • In recent matches, Logan Lightning has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Capalaba is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Capalaba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Logan Lightning is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Logan Lightning won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 2.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Logan Lightning won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2.3:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Logan Lightning - Capalaba were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Capalaba - Logan Lightning 1:4
    05.07.2024 Logan Lightning - Capalaba 1:1
    11.06.2024 Capalaba - Logan Lightning 1:2
    Latest results of Logan Lightning
    Latest results of Capalaba
    Australian Queensland Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rochedale14102243:133032
    2Brisbane Strikers13100337:172030
    3Caboolture1683536:211527
    4Magic United1481542:212125
    5Broadbeach Utd1374232:171525
    6Redlands1473425:33-824
    7Logan Lightning1471633:30322
    8Holland Park Hawks1552830:34-417
    9Ipswich1544718:21-316
    10SWQ Thunder15401117:45-2812
    11Southside Eagles15321015:53-3811
    12Capalaba16221222:45-238

          Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation

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