Logan Lightning vs Capalaba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian Queensland Premier League Logan Lightning - Capalaba
Result
3:1
15/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Queensland Premier League - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
117
Corner Kicks
37
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
117
Shots off target
93
Corner Kicks
37
Goalkeeper Saves
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Collins J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 61', 2 - 0, Carre J. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Fukuda R. ,
  • 84', 3 - 1, Patton B. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Logan Lightning
55.1%
Draw
20.9%
Capalaba
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 20.2% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 16.2% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Logan Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Logan Lightning's form might have worsened.
  • Capalaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Logan Lightning than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Logan Lightning that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Capalaba than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Logan Lightning - Capalaba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.51)
    4.42
    (4.5)
    3.84
    (4.64)
    8.4%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • What is the prediction for Logan Lightning - Capalaba?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Logan Lightning (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Logan Lightning won 3.
    • In recent matches, Logan Lightning has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Capalaba is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Capalaba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Logan Lightning is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Logan Lightning won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:27. (average 2.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Logan Lightning won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2.3:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Logan Lightning - Capalaba were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Capalaba - Logan Lightning 1:4
    05.07.2024 Logan Lightning - Capalaba 1:1
    11.06.2024 Capalaba - Logan Lightning 1:2
    Latest results of Logan Lightning
    Latest results of Capalaba
    Australian Queensland Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Broadbeach Utd19115351:262538
    2Brisbane Strikers19122549:272238
    3Magic United19121657:273037
    4Rochedale18113448:212736
    5Caboolture1993744:281630
    6Redlands1976630:43-1327
    7Logan Lightning1782737:37026
    8Ipswich1856724:23121
    9Holland Park Hawks19631037:42-521
    10SWQ Thunder19511321:55-3416
    11Capalaba19421327:51-2414
    12Southside Eagles19421319:64-4514

          Promotion ~ Queensland Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation